Monterrey vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Monterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Monterrey, 27% draw, 41% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Tigres UANL at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Line-ups
- 1E. AndradaG
- 2R. ChavezD
- 4V. GuzmanD
- 13C. SalcedoD
- 3G. ArteagaD
- 8O. TorresM
- 25O. PinedaM
- 7L. OcamposM
- 9D. RossiM
- 17J. CoronaM
- 99H. CuypersF
- 22L. CardenasG
- 33S. MedinaD
- 21L. ReyesD
- 14E. AguirreM
- 30J. RodriguezM
- 11I. FimbresM
- 5F. AmbrizM
- 32U. DjurdjevicF
- 27R. de la RosaF
- 1N. GuzmanG
- 14J. Garza
- 28JoaquimD
- 15A. FrancoD
- 19M. LainezD
- 8F. GorriaranM
- 23RomuloM
- 16D. LainezM
- 11J. BrunettaM
- 21R. MonrealM
- 17R. AguirreF
- 25F. RodriguezG
- 33R. GuerreroD
- 26F. I. Ordonez DelgadoD
- 5C. AraujoM
- 30D. A. Sanchez GuevaraF
- 6J. VigonM
- 34SimeoneM
- 22G. MartinezF
- 9E. GomezF
Form going into Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Monterrey
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Atletico San Luis31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Leon22 August 2026
- W6-1FC Juarez16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Atlas2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Necaxa26 July 2026
Tigres UANL
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Necaxa6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Santos Laguna30 August 2026
- W2-0Atlante FC22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Atlas16 August 2026
- L2-3away to Club Queretaro1 August 2026
What these results say
- Monterrey scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Monterrey conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tigres UANL failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tigres UANL scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Monterrey | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 24 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
- 8 March 2026Tigres UANL 1–0 MonterreyLiga MX
- 2 November 2025Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 April 2025Tigres UANL 2–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Monterrey 4–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 May 2024Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Monterrey and Tigres UANL
Monterrey
GoalsAssists
- L. Ocampos73
- H. Cuypers61
- D. Rossi53
Tigres UANL
GoalsAssists
- J. Brunetta94
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Monterrey and Tigres UANL drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tigres UANL at 41% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Diego Lainez (Tigres UANL) -5', Gerardo Arteaga (Monterrey) 90+7'.
How the call on Monterrey v Tigres UANL has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Tigres UANL's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Monterrey win32%▼ −3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Tigres UANL win41%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.