Monterrey vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Monterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Monterrey, 27% draw, 41% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tigres UANL at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Line-ups
- 1E. AndradaG
- 2R. ChavezD
- 4V. GuzmanD
- 13C. SalcedoD
- 3G. ArteagaD
- 8O. TorresM
- 25O. PinedaM
- 7L. OcamposM
- 9D. RossiM
- 17J. CoronaM
- 99H. CuypersF
- 22L. CardenasG
- 33S. MedinaD
- 21L. ReyesD
- 14E. AguirreM
- 30J. RodriguezM
- 11I. FimbresM
- 5F. AmbrizM
- 32U. DjurdjevicF
- 27R. de la RosaF
- 1N. GuzmanG
- 14J. Garza
- 28JoaquimD
- 15A. FrancoD
- 19M. LainezD
- 8F. GorriaranM
- 23RomuloM
- 16D. LainezM
- 11J. BrunettaM
- 21R. MonrealM
- 17R. AguirreF
- 25F. RodriguezG
- 33R. GuerreroD
- 26F. I. Ordonez DelgadoD
- 5C. AraujoM
- 30D. A. Sanchez GuevaraF
- 6J. VigonM
- 34SimeoneM
- 22G. MartinezF
- 9E. GomezF
Form going into Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Monterrey
- L1-3Atletico San Luis31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Leon22 August 2026
- W6-1FC Juarez16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Atlas2 August 2026
Tigres UANL
- D1-1Necaxa6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Santos Laguna30 August 2026
- W2-0Atlante FC22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Atlas16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
- 13 September 2026Monterrey 0–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 8 March 2026Tigres UANL 1–0 MonterreyLiga MX
- 2 November 2025Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 April 2025Tigres UANL 2–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Monterrey 4–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 May 2024Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Monterrey and Tigres UANL
Monterrey
- L. Ocampos5 goals1 assists
Tigres UANL
- J. Brunetta3 goals4 assists
- R. Aguirre3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.