13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC

Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result

Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Botev Vratsa 0-0 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Botev Vratsa, 28% draw, 48% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 4.17, 3.57 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levski Sofia at 48% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Botev Vratsa3%Draw92%Levski Sofia5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁Hevertton Ciriaco Santosout: Aldair
56'
🔁Mehdi Moubarikout: bala everton
57'
🔁Juan Pereaout: Armstrong Oko-Flex
66'
🔁Asen Mitkovout: Marko Grujić
🔁Martin Smolenskiout: Kassim Hadji
70'
🔁Vladislav Naydenovout: Martin·Achkov
70'
🔁Martin Detelinov Petkovout: Preslav Borukov
74'
Martin·Achkov
77'
79'
🔁Mazire Soulaout: Mustapha Sangaré
🔁Radoslav Tsonevout: Daniel Genov
82'
🔁Preslav Borukovout: Filip gigov
85'

Match stats — Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

26%Possession74%
4Shots9
2On target1
3Corners7

Line-ups

Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
  • 94M. OrlinovG
  • 3S. SanyangD
  • 4I. GoranovF
  • 36M. StoevD
  • 25A. BuchkovD
  • 8A. StoyanovM
  • 12I. YurukovM
  • 24M. SmolenskiM
  • 7R. TsonevM
  • 97V. NaydenovF
  • 79M. PetkovF
Substitutes
  • 98L. VasilevG
  • 17S. MechevF
  • 6A. KichukovM
  • 81K. HadjiM
  • 90F. GigovF
  • 9D. GenovD
  • 10J. GallegosM
  • 21M. DimitrovD
  • 88L. BoyanovD
Coach: Todor Simov
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 2Hevertton SantosD
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 19E. El MoubarikM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 22M. SoulaM
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 8M. GrujićM
  • 13O. VladimirovG
  • 55P. HristovD
  • 27David KussoF
  • 3MaiconF
  • 21AldairD
  • 11A. Oko-FlexF
  • 16A. RaychevF
  • 12M. SangaréF
Coach: Julio Velázquez

Form going into Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

Botev Vratsa

  • W3-2away to Septemvri Sofia4 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Arda Kardzhali31 August 2026
  • W1-0Botev Plovdiv24 August 2026
  • L0-5away to CSKA Sofia16 August 2026

Levski Sofia

  • W1-0CSKA 19485 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Slavia Sofia2 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Botev Plovdiv30 August 2026
  • W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108
1Levski Sofia9810214+1725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

  • 13 September 2026Botev Vratsa 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 27 June 2026Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 February 2026Levski Sofia 3–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 17 August 2025Botev Vratsa 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 30 November 2024Botev Vratsa 0–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 7 September 2024Levski Sofia 3–2 Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.