Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali First League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Arda Kardzhali.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 29% draw, 43% Arda Kardzhali — fair odds of 3.57, 3.45 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Arda Kardzhali at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Bojan MilosavljevićG
- 2Adrián CovaD
- 4Andrei ChindrişD
- 13Lucas RyanD
- 5Todor PavlovD
- 22Ivaylo IvanovM
- 12Efe AliM
- 7Sevi IdrizM
- 39Parvizdzhon UmarbaevM
- 99Julien LamyM
- 29Christ LongvilleF
- 11Ryan Yang LeijtenM
- 6Miha TrdanM
- 30Alexander AlexandrovM
- 44Milan PetrovicD
- 3Dalil AliD
- 40Petar ZovkoG
- 26Denis KirashkiD
- 9Axel VelevF
- 10Yoan DzhelepovF
- 1Anatoli GospodinovG
- 21Vyacheslav VelevD
- 24Martin PaskalevD
- 5Viktor LyubenovD
- 6Viktor PopovD
- 80Lachezar KotevM
- 8Dominik YankovM
- 10Svetoslav KovachevM
- 91Stanislav IvanovM
- 99Birsent KaragarenM
- 16Preslav BachevF
- 9Georgi NikolovF
- 4Idowu David AkintolaM
- 18Simeon VasilevD
- 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
- 11Atanas KabovM
- 22Yanko GeorgievG
- 26Burak AkandzhaM
Form going into Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Dunav Ruse16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Levski Sofia7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Spartak Varna3 August 2026
- W2-1Septemvri Sofia26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Ludogorets18 July 2026
Arda Kardzhali
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Lokomotiv Sofia17 August 2026
- W2-0away to Dunav Ruse8 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA 194831 July 2026
- W1-0Slavia Sofia24 July 2026
- D1-1away to Septemvri Sofia18 July 2026
What these results say
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Arda Kardzhali scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
- 4 July 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda KardzhaliFriendlies Clubs
- 16 May 2026Arda Kardzhali 4–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 8 May 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 30 April 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda KardzhaliCup
- 22 April 2026Arda Kardzhali 0–4 Lokomotiv PlovdivCup
Leading scorers: Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
No player in First League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Arda Kardzhali
GoalsAssists
- B. Karagaren11
- S. Kovachev10
- A. Kabov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arda Kardzhali won 1–0 at Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Arda Kardzhali at 43%. The goal: Dominik Yankov 65' for Arda Kardzhali. Sent off: Julien Lamy (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) 17'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.