CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA 1948 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% CSKA 1948, 24% draw, 17% Lokomotiv Plovdiv — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CSKA 1948 at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 31A. BozhevG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 77E. FrancoM
- 22O. Gasevic
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 33H. CuellarM
- 10B. TsonevM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevM
- 93M. DialloF
- 1P. Marinov
- 5B. BenamarD
- 9A. IlievF
- 14K. StrinskiM
- 19M. Boychev
- 34P. VitanovM
- 71D. TarasenkoF
- 96D. GrivicD
- 1B. MilosavljevicG
- 2A. CovaD
- 4A. ChindrisD
- 13Lucas RyanD
- 5T. PavlovD
- 12E. AliM
- 7S. IdrizM
- 22I. IvanovM
- 39P. UmarbaevM
- 3D. Ali
- 29C. LongvilleF
- 6M. TrdanM
- 9A. VelevF
- 10Y. DzhelepovF
- 11R. LeijtenM
- 26D. KirashkiD
- 30A. AleksandrovM
- 40P. ZovkoG
- 44M. PetrovicD
Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Septemvri Sofia23 August 2026
- W4-1Cherno More Varna14 August 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos11 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Panathinaikos5 August 2026
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Arda Kardzhali24 August 2026
- L1-2Dunav Ruse16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Levski Sofia7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Spartak Varna3 August 2026
- W2-1Septemvri Sofia26 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA 1948 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- CSKA 1948 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for CSKA 1948.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- 5 March 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–5 CSKA 1948First League
- 20 September 2025CSKA 1948 4–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 25 May 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 CSKA 1948First League
- 8 March 2025CSKA 1948 2–1 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 19 September 2024Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–2 CSKA 1948First League
- 21 April 2024Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 CSKA 1948First League
Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
No player in First League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA 1948 beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0. The model had made a win for CSKA 1948 its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Tsonev 45' for CSKA 1948, E. Franco 90' for CSKA 1948.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.