11 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor 1. SNL prediction & result

Nogometni park Brinje, Grosuplje
Referee: Z. Jazbec
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Maribor.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Brinje-Grosuplje, 27% draw, 45% Maribor — fair odds of 3.57, 3.70 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maribor at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
I. Tshipamba
37'
Z. Jevsenak
⚽H. Vuckic
44'
46'
🔁N. Ostercout: L. Zahovic
46'
🔁V. Kodermanout: C. Bumbic
47'
⚽T. Cipot
K. Benkic
63'
M. Roric
65'
68'
⚽J. Zrnec (OG)
🔁K. Benkicout: J. Kovac
70'
🔁H. Vuckicout: S. Matjaz
70'
🔁A. Kurtovicout: N. Koren
70'
71'
🔁Z. Jevsenakout: B. Feta
74'
🔁C. Goncalvesout: E. Taylor
🔁Z. Meskoout: G. Kurez
77'
82'
Z. Karnicnik
🔁M. Roricout: V. Vlahovic
82'
85'
🔁J. Mlakarout: J. Seri
90'
B. Feta

Line-ups

Brinje-Grosuplje
  • 25J. Zrnec
  • 24Z. Mesko
  • 2K. Benkic
  • 49A. Kurtovic
  • 72D. Ivkic
  • 28M. Kavcic
  • 17T. Levanic
  • 27J. Kurtic
  • 8M. Roric
  • 10N. Jovicevic
  • 9H. Vuckic
Substitutes
  • 1T. Strasberger
  • 5A. Zlatkov
  • 7V. Hojc
  • 11N. Zrnec
  • 14J. Kovac
  • 19S. Matjaz
  • 21E. Milosevic
  • 22N. Koren
  • 30R. Young
Coach: Goran Markovic
Maribor
  • 1A. Jug
  • 5Z. Jevsenak
  • 6B. Mbondo
  • 7T. Cipot
  • 8C. Goncalves
  • 17J. Mlakar
  • 21V. Koderman
  • 23Z. Karnicnik
  • 25M. Blazic
  • 38N. Osterc
  • 70I. Tshipamba
Substitutes
  • 39I. Lainovic
  • 43T. Handanovic
  • 3C. Bumbic
  • 11A. Reghba
  • 14J. Seri
  • 15E. Taylor
  • 24A. Zabukovec
  • 29D. Vizinger
  • 50L. Vidmar
Coach: Darko Milanic

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Brinje-Grosuplje154471625-916
2Maribor156632216+624

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor

  • 25 July 2026Maribor 3–0 Brinje-Grosuplje1. SNL
  • 29 October 2025Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 MariborCup

The result against the call

Maribor won 2–1 at Brinje-Grosuplje. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Maribor at 45%. The goals: H. Vuckic 44' for Brinje-Grosuplje, T. Cipot 47' for Maribor, J. Zrnec (own goal) 68' for Maribor.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Brinje-Grosuplje a 59.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 52.0% after a win, 60.1% after a draw, 63.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.7%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.

For Maribor the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 45.0% going in: 49.7% after a win, 41.4% after a draw, 38.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.7%, 4.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Brinje-Grosuplje v Maribor has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 29% / 28% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 28% / 27% / 45%: the biggest move is Maribor's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Brinje-Grosuplje win28%▼ −1
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Maribor win45%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.