11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Nafta vs Bravo 1. SNL prediction & result

Lendava
Referee: D. Sabanagic
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Nafta 1-0 Bravo.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Nafta, 28% draw, 33% Bravo — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nafta at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nafta96%Draw4%Bravo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽S. Nuhanovic (pen)assist: S. Nuhanovic
⚽A. Marosa
35'
70'
🔁M. Olanrewajuout: R. Parra
70'
🔁J. Arinzeout: M. Malensek
70'
🔁M. Tucicout: A. Jakupovic
J. Zorica
75'
76'
🔁O. Mazieout: A. Pecar
76'
🔁J. Brunnhoferout: I. Halilou
🔁M. Vidnyanszkyout: L. Pihler
80'
🔁A. Marosaout: D. Bobson
87'
89'
J. Ficko
🔁S. Omraniout: M. Ogwuche
90+4'

Line-ups

Nafta
  • 1L. Erjavsek
  • 2R. Pirtovsek
  • 98A. Dragoner
  • 20A. Ferreira
  • 33L. Poredos
  • 17A. Marosa
  • 21S. Omrani
  • 18A. Pihler
  • 41K. Lavrencic
  • 7J. Zorica
  • 30M. Vidnyanszky
Substitutes
  • 89E. Nemeth
  • 8M. Ogwuche
  • 99A. Micic
  • 90U. Jamiu
  • 23L. Kambic
  • 16D. Bobson
  • 19A. Sarr
  • 10L. Pihler
Coach: Gonzalo Escudero
Bravo
  • 77M. Rozman
  • 68M. Nzuzi
  • 4J. Brunnhofer
  • 21L. Stravs
  • 28M. Olanrewaju
  • 24G. Jovan
  • 6J. Ficko
  • 8S. Nuhanovic
  • 17J. Arinze
  • 11O. Mazie
  • 33M. Tucic
Substitutes
  • 22B. Maticic
  • 40M. Malensek
  • 75A. Pecar
  • 2R. Parra
  • 95M. Fogec
  • 5I. Halilou
  • 9A. Jakupovic
Coach: Ales Arnol

Form going into Nafta vs Bravo

Nafta

No earlier matches on record this season.

Bravo

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Shkendija30 July 2026
  • W2-1Shkendija23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Nafta155461921-219
5Bravo156541716+123

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nafta vs Bravo

  • 26 July 2026Bravo 0–3 Nafta1. SNL
  • 12 March 2026Bravo 2–0 NaftaCup
  • 2 May 2025Nafta 0–1 Bravo1. SNL
  • 2 April 2025Nafta 2–2 BravoCup
  • 8 March 2025Bravo 1–1 Nafta1. SNL

The result against the call

Nafta beat Bravo 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Nafta at 39%. The goal: A. Marosa 35' for Nafta.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nafta a 27.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 21.5% after a win, 28.2% after a draw, 31.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.5%, 5.5 points lower than before the match.

For Bravo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 61.0% going in: 68.0% after a win, 61.1% after a draw, 55.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.5%, 5.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.