11 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów I Liga prediction & result

Lodz
Referee: G. Kawalko
Full time0 – 2

Final score: ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Ruch Chorzów.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% ŁKS Łódź, 28% draw, 25% Ruch Chorzów — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

ŁKS Łódź at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

K. Falowski
43'
45+1'
M. Chrapek
A. Arasa
45+3'
🔁I. Strzalekout: K. Nowakowski
46'
B. Farbiszewski
47'
🔁M. Wysokinskiout: M. Kaput
55'
🔁D. Sokolout: L. Szczygiel
55'
62'
⚽B. Farbiszewski (OG)
🔁K. Terleckiout: A. Siwek
68'
🔁S. Karasinskiout: K. Hinokio
68'
76'
⚽T. Sutherlandassist: N. Lesniak-Paduch
77'
🔁D. Szczepanout: M. Pawlowski
77'
🔁M. Chrapekout: S. Nagamatsu
82'
P. Szwedzik
85'
🔁P. Szwedzikout: K. Rostek
86'
T. Sutherland

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2ŁKS Łódź147431712+525
5Ruch Chorzów146441714+322

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów

  • 21 March 2026ŁKS Łódź 2–2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
  • 14 September 2025Ruch Chorzów 2–1 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 10 May 2025Ruch Chorzów 1–3 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 3 November 2024ŁKS Łódź 0–1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
  • 17 December 2023ŁKS Łódź 1–1 Ruch ChorzówEkstraklasa

The result against the call

Ruch Chorzów won 2–0 at ŁKS Łódź. The model had leaned towards a win for ŁKS Łódź at 47% and given a win for Ruch Chorzów 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: B. Farbiszewski (own goal) 62' for Ruch Chorzów, T. Sutherland 76' for Ruch Chorzów.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ŁKS Łódź a 38.7% chance to finish in the top four: 43.6% after a win, 34.3% after a draw, 31.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.6%, 7.1 points lower than before the match.

For Ruch Chorzów the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 10.7% going in: 15.5% after a win, 10.3% after a draw, 8.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.5%, 4.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on ŁKS Łódź v Ruch Chorzów has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is ŁKS Łódź's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. ŁKS Łódź win47%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Ruch Chorzów win25%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.