10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Radomlje vs Koper 1. SNL prediction & result

Referee: B. Mertik
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Radomlje 3-3 Koper.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Radomlje, 26% draw, 48% Koper — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Koper at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radomlje0%Draw2%Koper98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
B. Ndiaye
⚽J. Martincicassist: B. Anzelj
8'
18'
⚽J. Ilicic (pen)
A. Bosec
20'
22'
⚽A. Ruedlassist: F. Tomek
B. Burcul
28'
⚽V. Pelkoassist: D. Ikenna
32'
B. Anzelj
35'
J. Jelen
49'
55'
J. Ilicic
🔁N. Marinsekout: D. Kantuzer
63'
67'
🔁A. Ruedlout: K. Manseri
67'
🔁F. Tomekout: C. Diakite
D. Ikenna
71'
D. Ikenna
71'
D. Ikenna
71'
🔁J. Martincicout: J. Balic
73'
🔁J. Jelenout: A. Zabukovnik
74'
80'
⚽B. Ndiayeassist: I. Matondo
83'
🔁J. Ilicicout: R. Beric
83'
🔁B. Ndiayeout: D. Pejicic
🔁B. Burculout: S. Bangura
87'
🔁V. Pelkoout: A. Goljevscek
87'
88'
🔁I. Matondoout: N. Simon
⚽S. Banguraassist: J. Balic
90+2'

Form going into Radomlje vs Koper

Radomlje

No earlier matches on record this season.

Koper

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2NSI Runavik30 July 2026
  • W2-0away to NSI Runavik23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Radomlje141581631-158
1Koper158522613+1329

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radomlje vs Koper

  • 26 July 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 18 April 2026Radomlje 0–3 Koper1. SNL
  • 15 February 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 25 October 2025Radomlje 1–1 Koper1. SNL
  • 9 August 2025Koper 1–2 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 5 April 2025Koper 3–1 Radomlje1. SNL

The result against the call

Radomlje and Koper drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Koper at 48% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Martincic 8' for Radomlje, J. Ilicic (penalty) 18' for Koper, A. Ruedl 22' for Koper, V. Pelko 32' for Radomlje, B. Ndiaye 80' for Koper, S. Bangura 90+2' for Radomlje. Sent off: D. Ikenna (Radomlje) 71'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radomlje a 90.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 88.2% after a win, 90.0% after a draw, 92.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 90.0%, 0.7 points lower than before the match.

For Koper the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 75.7% going in: 80.1% after a win, 74.6% after a draw, 69.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 74.6%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Radomlje v Koper has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 28% / 28% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 26% / 26% / 48%: the biggest move is Koper's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Radomlje win26%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Koper win48%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.