BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 Super League prediction & result
Final score: BSC Young Boys 3-3 FC Basel 1893.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% BSC Young Boys, 24% draw, 25% FC Basel 1893 — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
BSC Young Boys at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. KellerG
- 27L. BlumD
- 30S. LauperD
- 23L. BenitoD
- 33S. BukinacD
- 16C. FassnachtM
- 8A. GigovicM
- 6E. FernandesM
- 11J. MonteiroM
- 10A. SanchesF
- 99S. EssendeF
- 18J. MallG
- 5G. WuthrichD
- 17S. JankoD
- 22I. SchmidtD
- 52N. TschanzM
- 7A. VirginiusF
- 13D. PechM
- 34E. EtoskiM
- 9M. K. SeneF
- 13M. SalviG
- 6K. TsunemotoD
- 24F. DaniliucD
- 55A. VictoryD
- 29M. CisseD
- 5MetinhoM
- 4B. OmeragicM
- 8L. ThorellM
- 18A. SowF
- 9Z. CelarF
- 11K. OlaigbeF
- 49RenatoG
- 27K. RueggD
- 3N. VouillozD
- 10X. ShaqiriM
- 14A. BacaninM
- 44J. HarderM
- 37G. KolotoF
- 7P. OteleF
- 17A. MaloudaF
Form going into BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
All competitions we cover
- W4-2FC Vaduz23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Lausanne8 August 2026
- W6-0away to FC Thun1 August 2026
- W4-2FC Sion26 July 2026
FC Basel 1893
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to FC Zurich22 August 2026
- W4-2FC Thun9 August 2026
- L0-1Lausanne1 August 2026
- W1-0away to Servette FC25 July 2026
What these results say
- BSC Young Boys went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- BSC Young Boys scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for BSC Young Boys had three goals or more.
- FC Basel 1893 won 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Basel 1893 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Basel 1893 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | +16 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893
- 10 May 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 4 April 2026FC Basel 1893 3–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 2 November 2025BSC Young Boys 0–0 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 6 August 2025FC Basel 1893 4–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 18 May 2025BSC Young Boys 6–2 FC Basel 1893Super League
Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
GoalsAssists
- S. Essende153
- C. Fassnacht61
- A. Sanches44
FC Basel 1893
GoalsAssists
- Ž. Celar82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for BSC Young Boys at 51% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Monteiro 7' for BSC Young Boys, S. Essende 14' for BSC Young Boys, K. Olaigbe 32' for FC Basel 1893, A. Sow 37' for FC Basel 1893, A. Sanches 45' for BSC Young Boys, A. Victory 71' for FC Basel 1893. On expected goals it finished 1.77–1.28.