Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 Wuhan Three Towns.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Qingdao Jonoon, 27% draw, 49% Wuhan Three Towns — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Wuhan Three Towns at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28Mu PengfeiG
- 37Wei ZixianD
- 4Jin YangyangD
- 3Liu JunshuaiD
- 29Li SudaD
- 31Luo SenwenM
- 6M. EdjoumaM
- 7Y. YeboahM
- 8Lin ChuangyiM
- 34Jin YonghaoM
- 10C. StrandbergF
- 1Liu JunG
- 23Song LongD
- 14Sun Zheng'aoD
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 16Li HailongD
- 20Gong RuicongD
- 24Ngan Cheuk-PanM
- 22Yang CongF
- 19Song WenjieF
- 22Fang JingqiG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2He GuanD
- 11Li AngD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 50A. LeauteyM
- 18Zhang XiaobinM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10K. BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29J. CadizF
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 28Wang DennyD
- 19Liu YimingD
- 5Li ShenyuanD
- 8Wang JinxianM
- 12Liao ChengjianM
- 15Chen ZhechaoD
- 16Min ZixiM
- 13Zheng KaimuM
Form going into Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Jonoon
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to SHANGHAI SIPG23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shandong Luneng14 August 2026
- L0-1Shanghai Shenhua8 August 2026
Wuhan Three Towns
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Tianjin Teda22 August 2026
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG14 August 2026
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 15 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Jonoon
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz226
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wuhan Three Towns won 5–1 at Qingdao Jonoon. The model had made a win for Wuhan Three Towns its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Gustavo Sauer 28' for Wuhan Three Towns, J. Cadiz 40' for Wuhan Three Towns, Gustavo Sauer 61' for Wuhan Three Towns, K. Bevis 78' for Wuhan Three Towns, J. Cadiz 79' for Wuhan Three Towns, Song Wenjie 90' for Qingdao Jonoon. Sent off: Zixian Wei (Qingdao Jonoon) 74'. On expected goals it finished 2.66–4.04.