Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Bucheon FC 1995, 30% draw, 32% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bucheon FC 1995 at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Line-ups
- 1H. KimG
- 6Jeong Ho-JinD
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 7Thiaguinho SantosM
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 11GalegoF
- 71Kim Seung-BinF
- 31Lee Sang-hyeonG
- 2Kim Jong-MinD
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 18Lee Eui-HyeongF
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 4S. Ye-Geon
- 83Jo Seong-JunF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 41M. ParkG
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 4Kim Hyun-WooD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 55T. ParkM
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 9G. LeeF
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 44Park Min-SeoD
- 51Ahn Jun-SuG
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokD
- 56K. LeeM
Form going into Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Bucheon FC 1995
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Jeju United FC12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Incheon United8 September 2026
- L0-5Daejeon Citizen5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul25 August 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Gangwon FC13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
What these results say
- Bucheon FC 1995 did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 11 July 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
- 25 April 2026Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 14 May 2025Bucheon FC 1995 3–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCFA Cup
- 7 October 2023Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
- 1 July 2023Bucheon FC 1995 0–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 2
- 15 April 2023Gimcheon Sangmu FC 4–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
Leading scorers: Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego51
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 2–0 at Bucheon FC 1995. The model had leaned towards a win for Bucheon FC 1995 at 38% and given a win for Gimcheon Sangmu FC 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Go Jae-hyun 77' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Park Se-jin 86' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
How the call on Bucheon FC 1995 v Gimcheon Sangmu FC has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 32% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 30% / 32%: the biggest move is Gimcheon Sangmu FC's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Bucheon FC 1995 win38%▼ −4
- Draw30%▼ −2
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win32%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.