CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: CA Bizertin 0-0 US Monastirienne.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% CA Bizertin, 28% draw, 40% US Monastirienne — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
US Monastirienne at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne
CA Bizertin
Ligue 1
- L0-2away to CS Sfaxien20 September 2026
- D1-1Olympique Béja5 September 2026
US Monastirienne
Ligue 1
- W2-1away to ES Zarzis16 September 2026
- D3-3US Ben Guerdane12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CA Bizertin | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne
- 28 February 2026CA Bizertin 0–0 US MonastirienneLigue 1
- 24 September 2025US Monastirienne 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 19 January 2025US Monastirienne 3–1 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 1 September 2024CA Bizertin 0–0 US MonastirienneLigue 1
- 5 November 2023US Monastirienne 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
The result against the call
CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for US Monastirienne at 40% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on CA Bizertin v US Monastirienne has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 32% / 28% / 40%: the biggest move is US Monastirienne's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- CA Bizertin win32%▼ −1
- Draw28%▼ −1
- US Monastirienne win40%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.