ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ES Tunis 3-1 Olympique Béja.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% ES Tunis, 19% draw, 14% Olympique Béja — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
ES Tunis at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
ES Tunis
Ligue 1
- W1-0away to CS Hammam-Lif13 September 2026
- W2-1AS Marsa6 September 2026
Olympique Béja
Ligue 1
- D1-1Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer13 September 2026
- D1-1away to CA Bizertin5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ES Tunis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 15 | Olympique Béja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
- 1 March 2026Olympique Béja 0–3 ES TunisLigue 1
- 24 September 2025ES Tunis 2–0 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
- 11 May 2025Olympique Béja 0–5 ES TunisLigue 1
- 22 January 2025ES Tunis 1–1 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
- 7 June 2023ES Tunis 2–0 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
The result against the call
ES Tunis beat Olympique Béja 3–1. The model had made a win for ES Tunis its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: H. Mastouri 1' for ES Tunis, H. Mastouri 13' for ES Tunis, H. Mastouri 48' for ES Tunis, H. Mabrouk 59' for Olympique Béja.
How the call on ES Tunis v Olympique Béja has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 59% / 23% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 67% / 19% / 14%: the biggest move is ES Tunis's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- ES Tunis win67%▲ +8
- Draw19%▼ −4
- Olympique Béja win14%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.