Eibar vs Valladolid Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Eibar 1-0 Valladolid.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Eibar, 20% draw, 19% Valladolid — fair odds of 1.64, 5.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eibar at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Eibar vs Valladolid
Eibar
- L1-3Tenerife16 August 2026
Valladolid
- L0-2away to Mallorca15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eibar vs Valladolid
- 13 April 2026Valladolid 0–0 EibarSegunda División
- 19 December 2025Eibar 3–0 ValladolidSegunda División
- 24 March 2024Valladolid 3–1 EibarSegunda División
- 27 October 2023Eibar 5–1 ValladolidSegunda División
- 8 May 2022Eibar 0–2 ValladolidSegunda División
- 31 October 2021Valladolid 2–0 EibarSegunda División
Leading scorers: Eibar and Valladolid
Eibar
- Jon Guruzeta3 goals1 assists
- Malcom Adu2 goals1 assists
- Iván Gil1 goals1 assists
Valladolid
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.