Tenerife vs Almeria Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Tenerife 1-0 Almeria.
Before kick-off the model made it 79% Tenerife, 11% draw, 10% Almeria — fair odds of 1.27, 9.09 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tenerife at 79% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Tenerife vs Almeria
Tenerife
- W3-1away to Eibar16 August 2026
Almeria
- W3-0Eldense17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tenerife | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tenerife vs Almeria
- 1 June 2025Almeria 2–0 TenerifeSegunda División
- 24 August 2024Tenerife 0–1 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 21 March 2022Tenerife 0–1 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 24 September 2021Almeria 3–1 TenerifeSegunda División
- 7 May 2021Tenerife 0–1 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 26 November 2020Almeria 2–0 TenerifeSegunda División
Leading scorers: Tenerife and Almeria
Tenerife
- Enric Gallego4 goals
Almeria
- B. Cipenga1 goals3 assists
- Léo Baptistão1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.