Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Celta de Vigo II 1-2 Castellón.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Celta de Vigo II, 29% draw, 31% Castellón — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Celta de Vigo II at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón
Celta de Vigo II
- W4-2FC Andorra24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Cadiz15 August 2026
Castellón
- D0-0Sabadell23 August 2026
- W1-0away to Real Sociedad II14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celta de Vigo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 1 | Castellón | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Celta de Vigo II and Castellón
Celta de Vigo II
- B. Somuah2 goals
- A. Marin2 goals
Castellón
- Ousmane Camara2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.