Cordoba vs Granada CF Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cordoba 1-3 Granada CF.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Cordoba, 26% draw, 25% Granada CF — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Cordoba at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cordoba vs Granada CF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1I. AlvarezG
- 30D. BudescaD
- 5J. GutierrezD
- 16R. AlvesD
- 3D. TasendeD
- 22Y. DiarraM
- 8I. RuizM
- 28E. GarciaM
- 23C. CarracedoF
- 9PercanF
- 11D. BriF
- 13Guilherme FernandesG
- 27E. MunozD
- 21C. AlbarranD
- 4Alex MartinD
- 7T. ZidaneM
- 6D. CaceresM
- 18E. RodriguezF
- 19I. SanzF
- 10K. MedinaF
- 13R. LizoainG
- 18S. LopezD
- 5M. LamaD
- 35B. DembeleD
- 22B. DialloD
- 4R. AlcarazM
- 6G. GumbauM
- 26S. RodelasM
- 8P. AlemanM
- 11J. M. ArnaizM
- 19C. OnouhaF
- 1A. FloresG
- 23B. GimberD
- 16D. Varela PampinD
- 3D. HormigoD
- 30JuanjoD
- 33A. GarciaD
- 27M. Jimenez GambinM
- 32D. RodriguezM
- 17K. BambaF
Form going into Cordoba vs Granada CF
Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Girona21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Burgos16 August 2026
Granada CF
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Oviedo15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Granada CF
- 10 May 2026Cordoba 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 22 November 2025Granada CF 1–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 2 March 2025Cordoba 5–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 13 October 2024Granada CF 1–0 CordobaSegunda División
- 20 July 2022Cordoba 1–0 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs
- 15 February 2019Cordoba 1–2 Granada CFSegunda División
Leading scorers: Cordoba and Granada CF
Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- Percan63
- Eder García42
Granada CF
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pascual40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Granada CF won 3–1 at Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Cordoba at 49% and given a win for Granada CF 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Percan 2' for Cordoba, B. Dembele 65' for Granada CF, J. Pascual 89' for Granada CF, A. Marques 90' for Granada CF. On expected goals it finished 1.43–1.65.