Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Mallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Mallorca, 24% draw, 20% AD Ceuta FC — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mallorca at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC
Mallorca
- L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
- W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026
AD Ceuta FC
- L0-2Las Palmas22 August 2026
- L1-5away to FC Andorra15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mallorca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC
Mallorca
- Fuentes3 goals
- Álex Sala1 goals2 assists
AD Ceuta FC
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.