29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Celtic vs Falkirk Premiership prediction & result

Celtic Park, Glasgow
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Celtic 2-1 Falkirk.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Celtic, 20% draw, 15% Falkirk — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Celtic at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽C. Duran
4'
•Camilo Durán
5'
⚽C. Duranassist: K. Tierney
29'
35'
Lewis Neilson
44'
Leon McCann
Colby Donovan
45+2'
60'
🔁B. Parkinsonout: J. Murrell
🔁H. Hassanout: J. Forrest
63'
69'
🔁L. McCannout: S. Tanser
69'
🔁E. Rossout: C. McLeod
69'
🔁C. Fodreyout: A. Doherty
🔁K. Tierneyout: A. Trusty
70'
🔁C. Duranout: C. Osmand
70'
72'
⚽C. Donovan (OG)
77'
Connor McLeod
🔁Yang Hyun-Junout: S. Tounekti
78'
🔁A. Oxlade-Chamberlainout: L. McCowan
78'
78'
🔁B. Krauhausout: D. Melniks
82'
Aodhan Doherty

Match stats — Celtic vs Falkirk

56%Possession44%
19Shots5
8On target1
6Corners3
2.87xG0.53

Goals against chances

Celtic2 from 2.87 xGless than the chances were worth
Falkirk1 from 0.53 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Celtic 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. SinisaloG
  • 51C. DonovanD
  • 20C. Carter-VickersD
  • 5L. ScalesD
  • 63K. TierneyD
  • 22M. BaurM
  • 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  • 23H. HassanM
  • 8B. NygrenM
  • 13Yang Hyun-JunM
  • 11C. DuranF
Substitutes
  • 31R. DoohanG
  • 6A. TrustyD
  • 47D. MurrayD
  • 19C. OsmandF
  • 62L. KennedyM
  • 49J. ForrestM
  • 17S. TounektiF
  • 24J. KennyF
  • 14L. McCowanM
Coach: Martin O'Neill
Falkirk 4-2-3-1
  • 19S. BainG
  • 22R. StrainD
  • 15L. NeilsonD
  • 5L. HendersonD
  • 3L. McCannD
  • 16F. BarbrookM
  • 8B. SpencerM
  • 23E. RossM
  • 28B. KrauhausM
  • 99C. FodreyM
  • 7B. ParkinsonF
Substitutes
  • 1N. HogarthG
  • 4J. McMillanD
  • 6C. DonaldsonD
  • 17S. TanserD
  • 21D. MelniksM
  • 27C. McLeodM
  • 9R. MacIverF
  • 24J. MurrellF
  • 47A. DohertyF
Coach: John McGlynn

Form going into Celtic vs Falkirk

Celtic

All competitions we cover

  • L1-5away to Lask Linz25 August 2026
  • W3-0Lask Linz19 August 2026
  • W5-1away to Kilmarnock9 August 2026
  • W1-0Dundee3 August 2026

Falkirk

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Motherwell9 August 2026
  • L0-2St Mirren1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Celtic scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Celtic won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Celtic had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Celtic1310122810+1831
3Falkirk136342014+621

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Celtic vs Falkirk

  • 25 April 2026Celtic 3–1 FalkirkPremiership
  • 1 February 2026Celtic 2–0 FalkirkPremiership
  • 14 January 2026Falkirk 0–1 CelticPremiership
  • 29 October 2025Celtic 4–0 FalkirkPremiership
  • 15 August 2025Celtic 4–1 FalkirkLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Celtic and Falkirk

Celtic

GoalsAssists

  • C. Durán76
  • B. Nygren64
  • K. Høgh33

Falkirk

GoalsAssists

  • J. Murrell70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1. The model had made a win for Celtic its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: C. Duran 4' for Celtic, C. Duran 29' for Celtic, C. Donovan (own goal) 72' for Falkirk. On expected goals it finished 2.87–0.53.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.