Dundee vs Hibernian Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee 1-2 Hibernian.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Dundee, 28% draw, 29% Hibernian — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dundee at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee vs Hibernian
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. Bevan
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 27J. BevanM
- 21B. FinkM
- 18C. ReillyM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 6M. AkinmboniD
- 2B. HallidayD
- 17Z. BesirM
- 28C. JonesM
- 14A. ForrestF
- 10F. Robertson
- 58E. CrombieM
- 9B. WalesF
- 1R. SallingerG
- 25F. PasslackD
- 6J. KerrD
- 4G. HanleyD
- 21J. ObitaD
- 23C. WrightM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 10M. BoyleM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 9N. LoweF
- 13J. SmithG
- 15J. IredaleD
- 27K. MegwaD
- 11J. NewellM
- 47A. AbdulaiM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 20R. Molotnikov
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 22A. SutoF
Form going into Dundee vs Hibernian
Dundee
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Dundee United22 August 2026
- W2-0Aberdeen8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Celtic3 August 2026
Hibernian
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Gent27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gent20 August 2026
- D0-0away to Shkendija13 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rangers9 August 2026
- W2-1Shkendija6 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee vs Hibernian
- 28 February 2026Dundee 3–3 HibernianPremiership
- 22 November 2025Hibernian 2–0 DundeePremiership
- 3 August 2025Dundee 1–2 HibernianPremiership
- 13 April 2025Hibernian 4–0 DundeePremiership
- 23 November 2024Dundee 4–1 HibernianPremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee and Hibernian
Dundee
GoalsAssists
- B. Fink40
- J. Westley40
Hibernian
GoalsAssists
- C. Wright31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hibernian won 2–1 at Dundee. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee at 43% and given a win for Hibernian 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Boyle 25' for Hibernian, C. Wright 61' for Hibernian, J. Westley 83' for Dundee. On expected goals it finished 0.78–2.42.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.