Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Cercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel United.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Cercle Brugge, 25% draw, 22% Lommel United — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Cercle Brugge at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1G. CouckeG
- 2I. DiakiteD
- 5E. KakouD
- 24G. KondoD
- 15G. MagneeM
- 42L. MondeleM
- 19I. DiabyM
- 12V. KonateM
- 13D. VanzeirF
- 9S. NgouraF
- 71V. MartensF
- 84B. LangenbickG
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 10L. AmaniM
- 8Erick NunesM
- 6L. AgyekumM
- 41K. KouassiF
- 22L. MichalF
- 73L. Rocha Torres
- 88S. BehaegheD
- 23M. PieklakG
- 2J. van DuivenD
- 3T. EyomaD
- 5D. WoutersD
- 4S. AdewoyeD
- 6J. PelupessyM
- 7J. TalvitieM
- 15L. SchoofsM
- 10T. ReynersM
- 21S. AppuahM
- 9D. KonaduF
- 1N. IvezicG
- 47T. GooijerD
- 22D. GordicM
- 44I. Dada-MascollM
- 46N. CorthoutsF
- 17E. VandecraenD
- 60L. BeirinckxD
- 73A. Reumers
- 98M. SalahF
Form going into Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
Cercle Brugge
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Club Brugge KV23 August 2026
- D3-3St. Truiden14 August 2026
- D2-2away to Standard Liege8 August 2026
Lommel United
All competitions we cover
- W4-0KVC Westerlo23 August 2026
- L0-1Charleroi16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Truiden8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
- 11 July 2026Cercle Brugge 1–1 Lommel UnitedFriendlies Clubs
- 21 April 2017Lommel United 0–1 Cercle BruggeChallenger Pro League
- 26 March 2017Cercle Brugge 0–5 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
- 3 February 2017Lommel United 0–1 Cercle BruggeChallenger Pro League
- 20 November 2016Cercle Brugge 1–0 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and Lommel United
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Lommel United
GoalsAssists
- Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lommel United won 1–0 at Cercle Brugge. The model had leaned towards a win for Cercle Brugge at 53% and given a win for Lommel United 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: T. Reyners 61' for Lommel United. On expected goals it finished 1.25–1.62.