OH Leuven vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: OH Leuven 1-2 Standard Liege.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% OH Leuven, 24% draw, 25% Standard Liege — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
OH Leuven at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16D. van den HeuvelG
- 28E. PletinckxD
- 3N. DussenneD
- 34R. NyakossiD
- 27O. GilM
- 4B. VerstraeteM
- 8S. SchrijversM
- 9A. K. TraoreM
- 6W. George
- 21W. BalikwishaF
- 19C. IkwuemesiF
- 1T. LeysenG
- 5J. LawrenceD
- 99D. OpokuD
- 48B. KayoM
- 80M. HeremansM
- 24L. LakomyM
- 72S. MurruM
- 17K. VaesenF
- 20S. YamadaF
- 1M. EpoloG
- 13M. FosseyD
- 20I. KaramokoD
- 25I. HautekietD
- 3G. MortensenD
- 94C. NielsenM
- 22A. TrouilletM
- 84R. TouzgharM
- 15S. DrammehF
- 17B. NgueneF
- 11A. AbidF
- 21L. PirardG
- 29D. DierckxD
- 18H. LawrenceD
- 80R. FossoM
- 7T. MohrM
- 6L. GoemaereM
- 10D. EckertF
- 19S. JasperM
- 77B. NsimbaF
Form going into OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
OH Leuven
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026
- L1-3away to Charleroi9 August 2026
Standard Liege
All competitions we cover
- W2-0RAAL La Louvière21 August 2026
- D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026
- D2-2Cercle Brugge8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
- 8 May 2026Standard Liege 2–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 4 April 2026OH Leuven 1–3 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 12 December 2025Standard Liege 0–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 31 August 2025OH Leuven 1–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2025OH Leuven 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: OH Leuven and Standard Liege
OH Leuven
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Standard Liege
GoalsAssists
- D. Eckert Ayensa71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Standard Liege won 2–1 at OH Leuven. The model had leaned towards a win for OH Leuven at 51% and given a win for Standard Liege 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: C. Nielsen (penalty) 9' for Standard Liege, W. George 66' for OH Leuven, D. Eckert 68' for Standard Liege. On expected goals it finished 1.89–1.36.