29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC

Kortrijk vs Charleroi Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Kortrijk 1-3 Charleroi.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Kortrijk, 28% draw, 36% Charleroi — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kortrijk at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kortrijk0%Draw4%Charleroi96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
⚽A. Scheidlerassist: K. Van Den Kerkhof
38'
Antoine Bernier
⚽S. Campbellassist: T. Ambrose
41'
53'
🔁A. Bernierout: F. Mbemba
🔁K. Masuiout: J. van Landschoot
59'
63'
🔁A. Boukamirout: I. Cisse
63'
🔁P. Pfluckeout: A. Colassin
Rudy Kohon
65'
66'
⚽C. Keitaassist: J. Romsaas
🔁B. Lambertout: A. Phillips
72'
🔁G. Koyalipouout: B. Adinany
72'
🔁N. Mehssatou Sepulvedaout: H. Murray-Campbell
82'
🔁S. Campbellout: S. Podgoreanu
82'
86'
🔁Y. Khalifiout: N. Solheid
86'
🔁A. Scheidlerout: A. Bojang
90'
⚽A. Colassinassist: A. Bojang

Match stats — Kortrijk vs Charleroi

51%Possession49%
13Shots18
5On target5
6Corners5
1.2xG1.69

Goals against chances

Kortrijk1 from 1.20 xGabout what the chances were worth
Charleroi3 from 1.69 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kortrijk 3-4-2-1
  • 31M. IlicG
  • 36R. KohonD
  • 22G. RuyssenD
  • 5J. NdjeungoueD
  • 11S. CampbellM
  • 19B. DejaegereM
  • 35B. LambertM
  • 8N. Mehssatou SepulvedaM
  • 71K. MasuiF
  • 68T. AmbroseF
  • 10G. KoyalipouF
Substitutes
  • 13E. De VlaeminckG
  • 4H. Murray-CampbellD
  • 15M. Fofana
  • 70A. PhillipsF
  • 18J. van LandschootF
  • 7S. PodgoreanuF
  • 39B. AdinanyF
  • 14L. De SmetF
  • 90S. OgbuehiF
Coach: Michiel Jonckheere
Charleroi 4-2-3-1
  • 30M. KoneG
  • 3K. Van Den KerkhofD
  • 44M. SowD
  • 95C. KeitaD
  • 24M. NzitaD
  • 6A. BoukamirM
  • 18Y. KhalifiM
  • 14P. PfluckeM
  • 8J. RomsaasM
  • 17A. BernierM
  • 21A. ScheidlerF
Substitutes
  • 1M. Delavallee
  • 65R. TeugelsD
  • 33N. SolheidD
  • 51M. KeraM
  • 19I. CisseM
  • 23B. DembagaM
  • 25A. ColassinF
  • 20F. MbembaF
  • 9A. BojangF
Coach: Mario Kohnen

Form going into Kortrijk vs Charleroi

Kortrijk

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3Antwerp15 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Club Brugge KV7 August 2026

Charleroi

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0KV Mechelen22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Lommel United16 August 2026
  • W3-1OH Leuven9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Kortrijk11119423-194
4Charleroi119022613+1327

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs Charleroi

  • 26 December 2024Kortrijk 0–1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • 25 August 2024Charleroi 1–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 11 May 2024Charleroi 3–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 14 April 2024Kortrijk 1–2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • 3 February 2024Kortrijk 1–0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Kortrijk and Charleroi

Kortrijk

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Charleroi

GoalsAssists

  • A. Scheidler62
  • F. Situmona Mbemba53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Charleroi won 3–1 at Kortrijk. The goals: A. Scheidler 34' for Charleroi, S. Campbell 41' for Kortrijk, C. Keita 66' for Charleroi, A. Colassin 90' for Charleroi. On expected goals it finished 1.20–1.69.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.