RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 2-2 KV Mechelen.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% RAAL La Louvière, 29% draw, 31% KV Mechelen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
RAAL La Louvière at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21M. PeanoG
- 4W. FayeD
- 33P. NkoaD
- 25D. LamegoD
- 18S. DelosM
- 29M. CourcoulM
- 48I. CoulibalyM
- 5T. LutondaM
- 30Z. GruberF
- 9E. FiletF
- 11M. IsahF
- 91T. RadeletG
- 22S. GourvilleD
- 44M. BoukamirD
- 23J. ItoM
- 28B. SoumareM
- 7M. Kovacs
- 10M. WadeM
- 78A. TajaouartM
- 90L. Rousseau
- 13N. MirasG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 3J. MarsaD
- 7T. KoudouM
- 26D. PraetM
- 6F. HammarM
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 27K. VanrafelghemF
- 9M. van BrederodeF
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 1O. De WolfG
- 20K. CorbanieD
- 10M. KireevM
- 23S. MichezF
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 14B. RamanF
- 16S. AyodeleF
- 28B. BoersmaF
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Standard Liege21 August 2026
- L1-2Gent16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Anderlecht9 August 2026
KV Mechelen
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Charleroi22 August 2026
- D3-3Standard Liege16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Gent9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen
- 22 February 2026RAAL La Louvière 0–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 30 August 2025KV Mechelen 3–2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 30 October 2024KV Mechelen 3–1 RAAL La LouvièreCup
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
GoalsAssists
- M. Ubandoma60
KV Mechelen
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for RAAL La Louvière at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. van Brederode 6' for KV Mechelen, E. Filet 13' for RAAL La Louvière, M. Isah 45' for RAAL La Louvière, S. Ayodele 47' for KV Mechelen. On expected goals it finished 2.17–2.11.