Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Paranaense 1-1 RB Bragantino.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Atletico Paranaense, 22% draw, 24% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Paranaense at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
- W2-0away to Santos9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Corinthians30 July 2026
- W2-0Internacional25 July 2026
- W2-1away to Sao Paulo23 July 2026
RB Bragantino
- L0-2Corinthians9 August 2026
- D0-0Coritiba26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Fluminense17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino
- 11 July 2026RB Bragantino 2–1 Atletico ParanaenseFriendlies Clubs
- 25 February 2026RB Bragantino 1–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 5 December 2024Atletico Paranaense 1–2 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 7 August 2024RB Bragantino 2–3 Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil
- 31 July 2024Atletico Paranaense 2–0 RB BragantinoCopa Do Brasil
- 21 July 2024RB Bragantino 1–0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
Leading scorers: Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
- K. Viveros18 goals3 assists
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.