Chapecoense vs Internacional Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Chapecoense 1-2 Internacional.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Chapecoense, 28% draw, 31% Internacional — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Chapecoense at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Chapecoense vs Internacional
Chapecoense
- W2-1away to Corinthians6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Gremio30 August 2026
- W1-0Sao Paulo23 August 2026
- D3-3Bahia16 August 2026
Internacional
- L2-3Santos6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Bahia30 August 2026
- D0-0Atletico Mineiro22 August 2026
- D1-1Remo17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chapecoense vs Internacional
- 22 March 2026Internacional 2–0 ChapecoenseSerie A
- 10 October 2021Internacional 5–2 ChapecoenseSerie A
- 24 June 2021Chapecoense 1–2 InternacionalSerie A
- 22 September 2019Internacional 1–0 ChapecoenseSerie A
- 27 April 2019Chapecoense 2–0 InternacionalSerie A
- 17 September 2018Chapecoense 2–1 InternacionalSerie A
Leading scorers: Chapecoense and Internacional
Chapecoense
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.
Internacional
- J. Carbonero7 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.