Charlton vs Portsmouth Championship prediction & result
Final score: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Charlton, 29% draw, 30% Portsmouth — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Charlton at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charlton vs Portsmouth
Line-ups
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 5L. JonesD
- 44Tyler BindonD
- 18I. MesíkD
- 6C. CoventryM
- 34O. SkippM
- 19M. AlliM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 17A. BellD
- 21T. BrooksG
- 14S. CareyM
- 23C. KelmanF
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 32A. MwambaD
- 16T. OumaM
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 35R. NkengF
- 31D. BielicaG
- 24T. DevlinD
- 2Benjamin ArthurD
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 7M. PackM
- 19R. SheinM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 17T. ShadeM
- 9C. BishopF
- 55M. DiaD
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenF
- 37I. MohamedM
- 5R. PooleD
- 1N. SchmidG
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 8J. SwiftM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 38E. AdamsM
Form going into Charlton vs Portsmouth
Charlton
- D0-0QPR9 September 2026
- L0-4away to Stoke City5 September 2026
- D1-1away to West Brom2 September 2026
- W1-0Preston29 August 2026
Portsmouth
- W2-0Cardiff5 September 2026
- L0-2Derby1 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bristol City29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lincoln22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Charlton vs Portsmouth
- 12 September 2026Charlton 0–0 PortsmouthChampionship
- 17 February 2026Charlton 1–3 PortsmouthChampionship
- 29 December 2025Portsmouth 2–1 CharltonChampionship
- 3 August 2024Charlton 2–0 PortsmouthFriendlies Clubs
- 24 February 2024Charlton 0–0 PortsmouthLeague One
- 11 November 2023Portsmouth 2–2 CharltonLeague One
Leading scorers: Charlton and Portsmouth
Charlton
- Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell3 goals
Portsmouth
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.