13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Major League Soccer prediction & result

Soldier Field, Chicago
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Chicago Fire, 27% draw, 33% New England Revolution — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Chicago Fire at 40% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

Chicago Fire

  • D1-1Inter Miami10 September 2026
  • D4-4away to Toronto FC5 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Seattle Sounders29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to New York Red Bulls22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Orlando City SC19 August 2026

New England Revolution

  • W2-1away to New York City FC10 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Los Angeles Galaxy6 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Columbus Crew30 August 2026
  • D1-1New York City FC23 August 2026
  • W3-0away to DC United19 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

  • 18 October 2025New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 7 September 2025Chicago Fire 3–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 20 May 2025New England Revolution 1–3 Chicago FireUS Open Cup
  • 5 May 2024Chicago Fire 0–1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 23 March 2024New England Revolution 1–1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 24 September 2023Chicago Fire 2–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Chicago Fire and New England Revolution

Chicago Fire

  • H. Cuypers13 goals

New England Revolution

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.