San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% San Jose Earthquakes, 30% draw, 30% Houston Dynamo — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts San Jose Earthquakes at 40% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes
- W3-2away to San Diego10 September 2026
- D1-1away to Austin6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Houston Dynamo30 August 2026
- L1-5Minnesota United FC23 August 2026
Houston Dynamo
- W2-1Real Salt Lake10 September 2026
- D0-0away to Charlotte5 September 2026
- D0-0San Jose Earthquakes30 August 2026
- L1-2away to St. Louis City23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 41 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
- 30 August 2026Houston Dynamo 0–0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 24 August 2025Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 25 May 2025San Jose Earthquakes 3–3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 18 July 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 31 March 2024Houston Dynamo 2–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 22 June 2023Houston Dynamo 4–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes
- P. Judd12 goals2 assists
Houston Dynamo
- Guilherme13 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.