13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer prediction & result

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Los Angeles Galaxy, 30% draw, 32% Seattle Sounders — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Los Angeles Galaxy at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Los Angeles Galaxy4%Draw93%Seattle Sounders3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Reus (pen)
44'
46'
🔁P. Rothrockout: S. Gomez
62'
🔁K. Kossa-Rienziout: P. Kingston
🔁R. Taylorout: H. Miller
67'
🔁E. Thommyout: P. Ruiz
67'
🔁K. Furuhashiout: Joao Klauss
67'
🔁M. Reusout: L. Sanabria
79'
79'
🔁S. Hawkinsout: Kim Kee-Hee
79'
🔁C. Roldanout: H. Dotson
79'
🔁D. Joveljicout: P. Arriola
81'
⚽P. Arriolaassist: J. Morris
🔁S. Robertoout: M. Yoshida
89'
90+8'
Hassani Dotson
90+5'
Peter Kingston

Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders

49%Possession51%
18Shots17
5On target8
5Corners3
2.48xG2.2

Goals against chances

Los Angeles Galaxy1 from 2.48 xGless than the chances were worth
Seattle Sounders1 from 2.20 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
  • 12J. MarcinkowskiG
  • 2Lucas CalegariD
  • 5J. GlesnesD
  • 15J. HaakD
  • 14J. NelsonD
  • 18M. ReusM
  • 6S. RobertoM
  • 27E. ThommyM
  • 21R. TaylorF
  • 7K. FuruhashiF
  • 11H. LozanoF
Substitutes
  • 1N. MicovicG
  • 4M. YoshidaD
  • 26H. MillerD
  • 3J. AudeD
  • 25C. GarcesD
  • 17P. RuizM
  • 8L. SanabriaM
  • 76T. ElgersmaM
  • 99Joao KlaussF
Coach: Greg Vanney
Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
  • 26A. ThomasG
  • 85K. Kossa-RienziD
  • 16A. RoldanD
  • 39S. HawkinsD
  • 5NouhouD
  • 7C. RoldanM
  • 37S. BrunellM
  • 13J. MorrisM
  • 11A. RusnakM
  • 14P. RothrockM
  • 9D. JoveljicF
Substitutes
  • 24S. FreiG
  • 20Kim Kee-HeeD
  • 4R. SailorD
  • 31H. DotsonM
  • 45P. KingstonM
  • 8C. ClarkM
  • 90S. GomezM
  • 17P. ArriolaF
  • 19D. MusovskiF
Coach: Brian Schmetzer

Form going into Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Vancouver Whitecaps10 September 2026
  • W2-1New England Revolution6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to San Diego30 August 2026
  • D2-2away to CF Montreal22 August 2026
  • W1-0San Jose Earthquakes20 August 2026

Seattle Sounders

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0New York Red Bulls6 September 2026
  • D2-2Chicago Fire29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Cincinnati22 August 2026
  • L1-2Austin20 August 2026
  • L0-2Vancouver Whitecaps17 August 2026

What these results say

  • Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Los Angeles Galaxy had three goals or more.
  • Seattle Sounders did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Seattle Sounders conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Los Angeles Galaxy341111125057-744
8Seattle Sounders341210124446-246

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders

  • 17 May 2026Seattle Sounders 0–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 14 September 2025Seattle Sounders 2–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 28 August 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0–2 Seattle SoundersLeagues Cup
  • 11 August 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0–4 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 1 December 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 9 August 2024Seattle Sounders 3–1 Los Angeles GalaxyLeagues Cup

The result against the call

Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Los Angeles Galaxy at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Reus (penalty) 44' for Los Angeles Galaxy, P. Arriola 81' for Seattle Sounders. On expected goals it finished 2.48–2.20.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.