16 August 2026, 22:00 UTC

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Major League Soccer prediction & result

Soldier Field, Chicago
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Chicago Fire, 27% draw, 32% Portland Timbers — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Chicago Fire at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers

Chicago Fire

  • W2-1Charlotte2 August 2026
  • L1-3away to New York City FC25 July 2026
  • L2-3away to Inter Miami22 July 2026

Portland Timbers

  • W2-1Seattle Sounders2 August 2026
  • W2-1Real Salt Lake26 July 2026
  • D2-2FC Dallas23 July 2026
  • W5-1away to Seattle Sounders17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers

  • 14 February 2026Chicago Fire 3–4 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 February 2025Portland Timbers 0–0 Chicago FireFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 February 2024Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago FireFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 June 2023Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 15 August 2019Portland Timbers 3–2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 31 March 2018Chicago Fire 2–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers

Chicago Fire

  • H. Cuypers13 goals

Portland Timbers

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.