11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Chippa United vs Richards Bay Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Sisa Dukashe Stadium, Mdantsane
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Chippa United 1-1 Richards Bay.

Before kick-off the model made it 84% Chippa United, 9% draw, 7% Richards Bay — fair odds of 1.19, 11.11 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Chippa United at 84% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chippa United11%Draw85%Richards Bay4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Samkelo Jali
⚽N. Mlotshwaassist: J. Figuareido
23'
Lebohang Tshabalala
44'
🔁L. Tshabalalaout: T. Makara
46'
46'
🔁S. Jaliout: Mthamosi
48'
⚽B. T. Nashixwaassist: Mthamosi
63'
🔁T. Gumedeout: S. Nzama
63'
🔁L. Khumaloout: L. Zikhali
🔁N. Mlotshwaout: A. Bonani
73'
🔁A. Matroseout: D. Diakite
73'
🔁I. Jonesout: B. Dlamini
88'
88'
🔁N. Xuluout: N. Bomelo
88'
🔁S. Barnsout: W. Ngema
🔁B. Madingwaneout: K. Mfecane
90+5'

Match stats — Chippa United vs Richards Bay

54%Possession46%
11Shots10
2On target3
5Corners4
0.76xG0.45

Goals against chances

Chippa United1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth
Richards Bay1 from 0.45 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Chippa United 4-4-1-1
  • 23S. NwabaliG
  • 28B. MadingwaneD
  • 35H. MajadiboduD
  • 22A. MobaraD
  • 31I. JonesD
  • 10A. MatroseM
  • 21S. SeabiM
  • 20G. MoseleM
  • 7J. FiguareidoM
  • 34L. TshabalalaF
  • 29N. MlotshwaF
Substitutes
  • 32D. MsibiG
  • 50B. SamD
  • 26B. DlaminiM
  • 37T. MakaraD
  • 4S. Mbhele
  • 15A. TshobeniM
  • 8K. MfecaneD
  • 9A. BonaniM
  • 27D. Diakite
Coach: Brandon Truter
Richards Bay
  • 1I. Otieno
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 37S. GweleD
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 45B. T. NashixwaM
  • 30S. BarnsM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 17T. Gumede
  • 27N. XuluF
Substitutes
  • 16N. NgcoboG
  • 22L. MabuyaM
  • 9N. Bomelo
  • 19S. Nzama
  • 8L. Zikhali
  • 35T. Ndelu
  • 33W. NgemaM
  • 15MthamosiD
  • 31O. Mbambo

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Chippa United605136-35
14Richards Bay6033713-63

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chippa United vs Richards Bay

  • 11 August 2026Chippa United 1–1 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 14 February 2026Chippa United 3–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 5 October 2025Richards Bay 4–1 Chippa UnitedLeague Cup
  • 26 August 2025Richards Bay 1–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 1 March 2025Richards Bay 0–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 21 September 2024Chippa United 1–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Chippa United and Richards Bay

Chippa United

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Richards Bay

  • N. Xulu3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.