11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Full time3 3

Final score: Polokwane City 3-3 Stellenbosch.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Polokwane City, 35% draw, 18% Stellenbosch — fair odds of 2.13, 2.86 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Polokwane City at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

G. Philanderassist: B. Dlamini
16'
22'
S. Kwayibaassist: S. Nkwali
🔁B. Dlaminiout: T. Nkwe
46'
60'
D. Titusassist: T. Mashego
🔁G. Philanderout: R. Daniels
65'
🔁B. Mnguniout: V. Kopamotse
65'
65'
🔁G. Taunyanaout: G. Palace
S. Manthosi
67'
R. Danielsassist: T. Molokwane
75'
79'
🔁C. Butsakaout: Daniels
80'
🔁L. Matlouout: B. Grobler
80'
🔁D. Titusout: A. du Preez
80'
L. Mathebula (OG)
81'
Luthando Vena

Match stats — Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch

48%Possession52%
9Shots10
4On target5
5Corners6
0.95xG1.04

Goals against chances

Polokwane City3 from 0.95 xGmore than the chances were worth
Stellenbosch3 from 1.04 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Polokwane City 4-4-2
  • 40L. Mathebula
  • 42S. Manthosi
  • 22E. Ramaja
  • 34L. NkakiD
  • 27M. ModiseD
  • 17B. Dlamini
  • 14N. MaphanguleM
  • 21M. KambalaM
  • 35B. MnguniM
  • 18G. PhilanderF
  • 44T. MolokwaneF
Substitutes
  • 60A. Ngwenya
  • 20R. Daniels
  • 4B. NikaniD
  • 3T. NkweD
  • 47M. M. Batlhabane
  • 25K. SeboneD
  • 48A. Mashele
  • 28L. Mahlatsi
  • 39V. Kopamotse
Coach: Willy Moloto
Stellenbosch 4-1-4-1
  • 17S. StephensG
  • 37T. LebitsoD
  • 26S. NkwaliD
  • 21G. Taunyana
  • 4L. VenaD
  • 6T. MthethwaM
  • 27T. MashegoM
  • 33C. ButsakaM
  • 7D. TitusM
  • 28L. MatlouM
  • 14S. KwayibaF
Substitutes
  • 1N. GarrowG
  • 67B. GroblerF
  • 19G. PalaceM
  • 32DanielsF
  • 11Q. PlaatjiesF
  • 10A. du PreezF
  • 20K. JohannesenM
  • 8V. Andrieas
  • 2K. Ramushu
Coach: Gavin Hunt

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Polokwane City614189-17
10Stellenbosch61327706

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch

  • 11 August 2026Polokwane City 3–3 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 26 April 2026Polokwane City 1–0 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 3 December 2025Stellenbosch 1–2 Polokwane CityPremier Soccer League
  • 28 February 2025Stellenbosch 1–1 Polokwane CityPremier Soccer League
  • 13 February 2025Stellenbosch 2–0 Polokwane CityCup
  • 29 September 2024Polokwane City 1–1 StellenboschPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Polokwane City and Stellenbosch

Polokwane City

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Stellenbosch

  • Q. Plaatjies3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.