12 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Amazulu 1-1 Orlando Pirates.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Amazulu, 21% draw, 56% Orlando Pirates — fair odds of 4.35, 4.76 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Orlando Pirates at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Amazulu4%Draw90%Orlando Pirates6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽T. Moremi
⚽T. Ngwenya (pen)
45'
T. Ngwenya
51'
55'
🔁S. Nduliout: T. Mokobodi
🔁S. Zikhaliout: L. Mhlongo
60'
63'
🔁N. Ndabaout: D. Hotto
64'
🔁K. Sebelebeleout: K. Kgosietsile
64'
🔁T. Moremiout: O. Appollis
🔁T. Ngwenyaout: N. Mokoena
73'
77'
🔁Y. Mbuthumaout: B. Radiopane
🔁M. Mbanjwaout: A. Sithole
86'
🔁A. Maqokolaout: T. Mashigo
86'

Match stats — Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates

29%Possession71%
5Shots24
1On target8
7Corners10
1.03xG1.74

Goals against chances

Amazulu1 from 1.03 xGabout what the chances were worth
Orlando Pirates1 from 1.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Amazulu 4-4-2
  • 24W. KouassiG
  • 42S. MthethwaD
  • 12T. FieliesD
  • 4R. HanamubD
  • 3O. MdakaD
  • 14N. RadebeM
  • 19S. ZikhaliM
  • 6S. HlangabezaM
  • 15M. MbanjwaM
  • 2A. MaqokolaF
  • 23T. NgwenyaF
Substitutes
  • 1O. Mzimela
  • 11A. SitholeM
  • 18N. MokoenaM
  • 33K. PhillipsD
  • 38G. MoraloM
  • 50L. MhlongoM
  • 20T. MashigoM
  • 17L. BernD
  • 22B. Thabede
Coach: Arthur Zwane
Orlando Pirates 4-2-3-1
  • 24S. ChaineG
  • 36K. SebelebeleD
  • 6L. SeemaD
  • 5N. SibisiD
  • 3N. NdabaD
  • 46C. DansinM
  • 30S. NduliM
  • 23G. LunguM
  • 28P. MaswanganyiM
  • 11T. MoremiM
  • 9Y. MbuthumaF
Substitutes
  • 32S. DladlaG
  • 7D. HottoM
  • 25B. RadiopaneF
  • 49K. Kgosietsile
  • 48S. MasilelaM
  • 37S. ZuluD
  • 12O. AppollisF
  • 33T. MokobodiM
  • 29M. MthiyaneM
Coach: Abdeslam Ouaddou

Form going into Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates

Amazulu

No earlier matches on record this season.

Orlando Pirates

  • W2-0Milford FC1 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Amazulu641197+213
2Orlando Pirates5410121+1113

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates

  • 12 August 2026Amazulu 1–1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 18 April 2026Orlando Pirates 3–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
  • 3 February 2026Amazulu 0–2 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 24 May 2025Amazulu 1–1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 25 October 2024Orlando Pirates 2–1 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
  • 20 April 2024Orlando Pirates 1–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Amazulu and Orlando Pirates

Amazulu

  • T. Ngwenya7 goals1 assists

Orlando Pirates

  • O. Appollis2 goals2 assists
  • B. Radiopane2 goals1 assists
  • Y. Mbuthuma2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.