11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela
Full time2 – 3

Final score: TS Galaxy 2-3 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% TS Galaxy, 22% draw, 54% Mamelodi Sundowns — fair odds of 4.17, 4.55 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mamelodi Sundowns at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽B. Leon (pen)
26'
Khuliso Mudau
⚽V. Letsoaloassist: T. Kakora
33'
Lentswe Motaung
37'
46'
🔁N. Santosout: B. Mokoena
🔁T. Kakoraout: M. Mbunjana
52'
63'
🔁G. Kekanaout: S. Mkhulise
63'
🔁A. van Wykout: C. Mailula
72'
🔁F. Basadienout: A. Modiba
72'
🔁B. Leonout: I. Rayners
⚽R. Williams (OG)
77'
🔁S. Georgeout: Igor Salatiel
82'
Seluleko Mahlambi
83'
88'
⚽S. Mkhulise
90'
⚽S. Mkhuliseassist: K. Mudau

Match stats — TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns

25%Possession75%
7Shots20
2On target7
0Corners6
0.55xG3.69

Goals against chances

TS Galaxy2 from 0.55 xGmore than the chances were worth
Mamelodi Sundowns3 from 3.69 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

TS Galaxy
  • 16E. I. TapeG
  • 22L. MotaungD
  • 45V. ZuluD
  • 3M. MncwangoD
  • 21J. ZindogaM
  • 14T. KakoraM
  • 6N. NkosiM
  • 2M. MvelaseM
  • 7S. MahlambiM
  • 17V. LetsoaloF
  • 19S. GeorgeF
Substitutes
  • 38M. NkosingabeleG
  • 8M. MbunjanaM
  • 5Igor SalatielD
  • 23P. Fisher NormanD
  • 4M. Kamogelo MahlanguD
  • 30S. NgwenyaM
  • 13S. XuluM
  • 15M. RantoaF
  • 26K. MaakeD
Mamelodi Sundowns 4-3-3
  • 30R. WilliamsG
  • 25K. MudauD
  • 37K. JohannesD
  • 42M. KhozaD
  • 23F. BasadienD
  • 11M. AllendeM
  • 44G. KekanaM
  • 10N. SantosM
  • 29A. van WykF
  • 12B. LeonF
  • 17T. MatthewsF
Substitutes
  • 31R. GossG
  • 6A. ModibaD
  • 40M. MvalaD
  • 21S. MkhuliseM
  • 33C. MailulaF
  • 28Z. MdunyelwaD
  • 46B. MokoenaF
  • 18T. ZwaneM
  • 13I. RaynersF
Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11TS Galaxy613278-16
1Mamelodi Sundowns8620197+1220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns

  • 11 August 2026TS Galaxy 2–3 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
  • 12 May 2026TS Galaxy 3–2 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
  • 21 February 2026TS Galaxy 2–0 Mamelodi SundownsCup
  • 5 November 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
  • 22 February 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 4–1 TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
  • 11 February 2025TS Galaxy 1–0 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: TS Galaxy and Mamelodi Sundowns

TS Galaxy

  • V. Letsoalo4 goals

Mamelodi Sundowns

  • B. León3 goals1 assists
  • T. Matthews2 goals3 assists
  • C. Mailula2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.