Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-1 Dalian Zhixing.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Chongqing Tongliang Long, 36% draw, 27% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 2.70, 2.78 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Chongqing Tongliang Long at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
- D0-0away to Qingdao Youth Island14 August 2026
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG9 August 2026
Dalian Zhixing
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Yunnan Yukun15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
- 1 May 2026Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
- 6 October 2024Chongqing Tongliang Long 3–0 Dalian ZhixingLeague One
- 26 May 2024Dalian Zhixing 2–2 Chongqing Tongliang LongLeague One
- 22 October 2023Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang LongLeague Two
- 9 September 2023Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–1 Dalian ZhixingLeague Two
Leading scorers: Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Dalian Zhixing
- N. Stanciu9 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.