FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Zurich 1-2 FC Basel 1893.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% FC Zurich, 27% draw, 42% FC Basel 1893 — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Basel 1893 at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Heinz LindnerG
- 3Selmin HodzaD
- 2Lindrit KamberiD
- 42Alexander HackD
- 44Sebastian WalkerD
- 21Leandro SchödlerM
- 11Umeh EmmanuelM
- 38Miguel ReichmuthM
- 7Bledian KrasniqiM
- 17Kevin SpadanudaM
- 19Philippe KenyF
- 27Ilan SauterD
- 9Juan José PereaF
- 8Livano ComenenciaM
- 18Mohamed BangouraM
- 29Damienus ReversonF
- 60Tyrese PinthusG
- 22Chris KablanD
- 23Valon BerishaM
- 14Nevio Di GiustoM
- 13Mirko SalviG
- 6Keigo TsunemotoD
- 24Flavius DaniliucD
- 55Akpe VictoryD
- 29Moussa CisséD
- 5MetinhoM
- 4Bećir OmeragićM
- 8Ludwig ThorellM
- 18Asane SowF
- 9Žan CelarF
- 11Kazeem OlaigbeF
- 10Xherdan ShaqiriM
- 17Aaron MaloudaF
- 49Renato Widmer D'AutiliaG
- 3Nicolas VouillozD
- 27Kevin RüeggD
- 44Jonas HarderM
- 14Andrej BačaninM
- 41Jean DoucoureM
- 37Giacomo KolotoF
Form going into FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
- L0-5away to FC Lugano9 August 2026
- W2-1Servette FC1 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
FC Basel 1893
- W4-2FC Thun9 August 2026
- L0-1Lausanne1 August 2026
- W1-0away to Servette FC25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Zurich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
- 22 August 2026FC Zurich 1–2 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 8 February 2026FC Basel 1893 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 25 January 2026FC Zurich 3–4 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 29 October 2025FC Basel 1893 2–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 12 April 2025FC Zurich 0–4 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 2 February 2025FC Zurich 0–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
Leading scorers: FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
- U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists
FC Basel 1893
- Ž. Celar5 goals1 assists
- A. Sow3 goals4 assists
- X. Shaqiri3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.