29 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
Referee: Sebastian Lozano
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Cusco.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 27% draw, 42% Cusco — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cusco at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club Deportivo Los Chankas4%Draw92%Cusco4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Carlos Gamarra
⚽Franco Nicolas Torres (pen)
27'
🔁Oshiro Takeuchiout: Kenji Barrios
45'
Michael Kaufman
59'
64'
🔁Lucas Colittoout: Nicolás Silva
64'
🔁Marlon Ruidíasout: José Zevallos
🔁Franco Nicolas Torresout: A. Campos
69'
🔁Christian Velardeout: Axel Chávez
69'
Jorge Palomino
73'
76'
Aldair Fuentes
🔁Carlos Pimientaout: Gonzalo Rizzo
78'
79'
🔁José Manzanedaout: Juan Manuel Tévez
🔁Marlon Torresout: Abdiel Ayarza
85'
87'
🔁Jean Montanoout: Oswaldo Valenzuela
87'
🔁Diego Sotoout: Carlos Diez
Jorge Palomino
90+2'
90+8'
⚽Ivan Colman (pen)

Match stats — Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco

42%Possession58%
17Shots15
5On target4
4Corners3
1.54xG1.61

Goals against chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas0 from 1.54 xGless than the chances were worth
Cusco1 from 1.61 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. CamachoG
  • 30M. KaufmanD
  • 33C. PimientaD
  • 2H. GonzálezD
  • 26D. GonzálesD
  • 17C. VelardeM
  • 5J. PalominoM
  • 18O. TakeuchiM
  • 11J. QuinteroM
  • 20M. TorresM
  • 10F. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 6A. AyarzaM
  • 27K. BarriosD
  • 4A. CamposM
  • 16A. ChávezD
  • 77F. EspinozaF
  • 14B. GuevaraD
  • 12L. PretelG
  • 24G. RizzoD
  • 15K. SánchezM
Coach: J. Balazar
Cusco 4-1-4-1
  • 28P. DíazG
  • 24M. RuidíasD
  • 8A. FuentesD
  • 2C. GamarraD
  • 3R. LagosD
  • 55J. MontañoM
  • 22L. ColittoM
  • 88D. SotoM
  • 10I. ColmanM
  • 7J. ManzanedaM
  • 9F. CallejoF
Substitutes
  • 13A. VidalG
  • 11J. TévezF
  • 26N. SilvaF
  • 16O. ValenzuelaM
  • 77J. HerreraM
  • 14C. DiezM
  • 37G. ChoiD
  • 6Á. AmpueroD
  • 21J. ZevallosD
Coach: Javier Rabanal

Form going into Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Primera División

  • L1-4away to Deportivo Garcilaso25 October 2026
  • W2-1ADT16 October 2026

Cusco

Primera División

  • W3-1Sporting Cristal24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Sport Huancayo16 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Peru Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas33139114052-1248
6Cusco33163144647-151

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco

  • 10 May 2026Cusco 1–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 4 October 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 CuscoPrimera División
  • 17 May 2025Cusco 3–3 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 17 October 2024Cusco 2–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 4 May 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 CuscoPrimera División
  • 14 August 2022Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 CuscoSegunda División

Leading scorers: Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

GoalsAssists

  • F. Torres95

Cusco

GoalsAssists

  • F. Callejo182

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cusco won 1–0 at Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The model had made a win for Cusco its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Ivan Colman (penalty) 90+8' for Cusco. Sent off: Jorge Palomino (Club Deportivo Los Chankas) 90+2'. On expected goals it finished 1.54–1.61.

How the call on Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco has moved

First published on 14 Oct at 33% / 27% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 31% / 27% / 42%: the biggest move is Club Deportivo Los Chankas's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Club Deportivo Los Chankas win31%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Cusco win42%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.