12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Major League Soccer prediction & result

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Full time3 – 3

Final score: FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% FC Cincinnati, 28% draw, 34% Charlotte — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Cincinnati at 38% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte

FC Cincinnati

  • L0-5away to Philadelphia Union9 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Nashville SC30 August 2026
  • D1-1Seattle Sounders22 August 2026
  • W2-1New York City FC19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026

Charlotte

  • W2-1away to CF Montreal9 September 2026
  • D0-0Houston Dynamo5 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Atlanta United FC29 August 2026
  • W3-1DC United22 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Toronto FC19 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte

  • 9 May 2026Charlotte 2–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 10 August 2025FC Cincinnati 0–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 15 March 2025Charlotte 2–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 13 July 2024FC Cincinnati 1–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 30 March 2024Charlotte 1–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 23 September 2023FC Cincinnati 3–0 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and Charlotte

FC Cincinnati

  • K. Denkey13 goals2 assists
  • Evander12 goals8 assists

Charlotte

  • Pep Biel11 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.