12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Exploria Stadium, Orlando
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Orlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Orlando City SC, 28% draw, 30% Toronto FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Orlando City SC at 42% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC

Orlando City SC

  • W3-2away to Atlanta United FC9 September 2026
  • W1-0San Diego5 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Minnesota United FC30 August 2026
  • W2-1Real Salt Lake22 August 2026
  • L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026

Toronto FC

  • W2-1Nashville SC9 September 2026
  • D4-4Chicago Fire5 September 2026
  • D1-1New York City FC29 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Inter Miami22 August 2026
  • D3-3Charlotte19 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC

  • 18 October 2025Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 2 March 2025Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 3 July 2024Toronto FC 1–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 27 April 2024Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 21 October 2023Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 4 July 2023Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and Toronto FC

Orlando City SC

  • M. Ojeda11 goals1 assists

Toronto FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.