Como vs Parma Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Como 2-1 Parma.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Como, 28% draw, 25% Parma — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Como at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Como vs Parma
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 97Robert SánchezG
- 27Yan CoutoD
- 4Jacobo RamónD
- 2Marc KempfD
- 16KaikiD
- 5Máximo PerroneM
- 7Lucas Da CunhaM
- 11Assane DiaoM
- 10Nico PazM
- 20Martin BaturinaM
- 90Moise KeanF
- 17Jesús RodriguezF
- 8Maxence CaqueretM
- 9Anastasios DouvikasF
- 6Luis MillaM
- 21Samuele RicciM
- 22Mauro VigoritoG
- 1Jean ButezG
- 28Ivan SmolčićD
- 3Álex ValleD
- 40Edoardo CorviG
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 37Mariano TroiloD
- 15Enrico DelpratoD
- 27Sascha BritschgiM
- 4Vincent SierroM
- 16Mandela KeitaM
- 14Emanuele ValeriM
- 19El Bilal TouréF
- 76Simone LontaniF
- 23Nesta ElphegeF
- 20Matija FriganF
- 10Adrián BernabéM
- 9David RomeroF
- 80Giovanni FabbianM
- 11Pontus AlmqvistF
- 22Simone GhidottiG
- 30Giovanni DaffaraG
- 5Lautaro ValentiD
- 72Dominik DrobnicD
Form going into Como vs Parma
Como
All competitions we cover
- W4-1RB Leipzig10 September 2026
- W4-1away to Genoa4 September 2026
- W2-1away to Napoli30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Udinese22 August 2026
Parma
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Monza6 September 2026
- L0-2away to Juventus29 August 2026
- L0-1Cagliari22 August 2026
What these results say
- Como went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Como scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Como conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Como vs Parma
- 17 May 2026Como 1–0 ParmaSerie A
- 25 October 2025Parma 0–0 ComoSerie A
- 3 May 2025Parma 0–1 ComoSerie A
- 19 October 2024Como 1–1 ParmaSerie A
- 24 February 2024Como 1–1 ParmaSerie B
Leading scorers: Como and Parma
Como
GoalsAssists
- T. Douvikas50
Parma
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Como beat Parma 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Como at 47%. The goals: J. Ramon 23' for Como, Kaiki 83' for Como, D. Romero 90+2' for Parma. On expected goals it finished 3.24–1.23.