Torino vs AS Roma Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Torino 0-2 AS Roma.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Torino, 28% draw, 38% AS Roma — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
AS Roma at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Torino vs AS Roma
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 20Lucas PerriG
- 45Rafik BelghaliD
- 5Eray CömertD
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 15Pietro ComuzzoD
- 29Niccolò FortiniD
- 66Gvidas GineitisM
- 8Rolando MandragoraM
- 28Kian Fitz-JimM
- 18Giovanni SimeoneF
- 10Nikola VlašićF
- 21Daniel BragançaM
- 77Alessio CacciamaniM
- 6Emirhan İlkhanM
- 13Ricardo RodríguezD
- 91Duván ZapataF
- 76Lapo SivieroG
- 26Diego MascardiG
- 2Nathan PattersonD
- 44Ardian IsmajliD
- 99Mile SvilarG
- 23Gianluca ManciniD
- 26Leonardo BalerdiD
- 22Mario HermosoD
- 77Emanuele LulliM
- 4Bryan CristanteM
- 61Niccolò PisilliM
- 20Nahuel MolinaM
- 21Paulo DybalaF
- 18Matías SouléF
- 14Donyell MalenF
- 86Rodrigo MoraM
- 9Santiago CastroF
- 17Manu KonéM
- 15Marten de RoonM
- 2Devyne RenschD
- 95Pierluigi GolliniG
- 70Giorgio De MarziG
- 87Daniele GhilardiD
- 3Konstantinos KoulierakisD
Form going into Torino vs AS Roma
Torino
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Fiorentina5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sassuolo29 August 2026
- L1-2AC Milan23 August 2026
AS Roma
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Fenerbahçe10 September 2026
- W2-1Atalanta5 September 2026
- W4-0away to Lecce31 August 2026
- W4-0Fiorentina24 August 2026
What these results say
- AS Roma went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- AS Roma scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- AS Roma won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Torino vs AS Roma
- 18 January 2026Torino 0–2 AS RomaSerie A
- 13 January 2026AS Roma 2–3 TorinoCoppa Italia
- 14 September 2025AS Roma 0–1 TorinoSerie A
- 25 May 2025Torino 0–2 AS RomaSerie A
- 31 October 2024AS Roma 1–0 TorinoSerie A
Leading scorers: Torino and AS Roma
Torino
GoalsAssists
- C. Adams40
AS Roma
GoalsAssists
- D. Malen82
- Rodrigo Mora40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AS Roma won 2–0 at Torino. The model had made a win for AS Roma its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Malen 40' for AS Roma, N. Pisilli 90+3' for AS Roma. On expected goals it finished 0.76–1.91.
How the call on Torino v AS Roma has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 31% / 27% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 34% / 28% / 38%: the biggest move is AS Roma's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Torino win34%▲ +3
- Draw28%▲ +1
- AS Roma win38%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.