Bahia vs Remo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Bahia 2-1 Remo.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Bahia, 28% draw, 25% Remo — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Bahia at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bahia vs Remo
Line-ups
- 1RonaldoG
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 33David DuarteD
- 4KanuD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 6Jean LucasM
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 99C. OliveraF
- 9A. VélizF
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 77Ruan PabloF
- 12Willian JoséF
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
- 7AdemirF
- 63David MartinsM
- 27EveraldoF
- 10Éverton RibeiroM
- 31Roman GomezD
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 14L. PiccoM
- 8PatrickM
- 6MarlonM
- 21A. GaleanoF
- 55Zé RicardoF
- 7Jája SilvaF
- 9Gabriel PovedaF
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 97IvanG
- 10JádersonF
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 13MarllonD
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 94Ygor VinhasG
Form going into Bahia vs Remo
Bahia
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to RB Bragantino5 September 2026
- W3-2Internacional30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Vitoria23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Chapecoense16 August 2026
- D0-0Vasco da Gama9 August 2026
Remo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
- L2-3Coritiba31 August 2026
- L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Internacional17 August 2026
- D2-2Atletico Mineiro8 August 2026
What these results say
- Bahia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Bahia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Remo did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Remo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Remo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bahia vs Remo
- 14 May 2026Remo 2–1 BahiaCopa Do Brasil
- 22 April 2026Bahia 1–3 RemoCopa Do Brasil
- 22 March 2026Remo 4–1 BahiaSerie A
Leading scorers: Bahia and Remo
Bahia
GoalsAssists
- Luciano Juba112
Remo
GoalsAssists
- Jája Silva91
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bahia beat Remo 2–1. The model had made a win for Bahia its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jean Lucas 20' for Bahia, Luciano (penalty) 90+1' for Bahia, Vitor Bueno (penalty) 90+6' for Remo.
How the call on Bahia v Remo has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is Bahia's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Bahia win47%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Remo win25%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.