23 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
Referee: Adrian Viorel Cojocaru
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-3 Universitatea Cluj.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Corvinul Hunedoara, 27% draw, 35% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Corvinul Hunedoara at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Corvinul Hunedoara0%Draw1%Universitatea Cluj99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Jovo Lukićassist: Ovidiu Bic
6'
Iulian Cristea
27'
Oucasse Mendy
🔁Roger Rodrigues out: Gideon Uche Goodlad
45'
🔁Constantin Dragos Albuout: Sérgio Ribeiro
45'
45'
🔁Oucasse Mendyout: Jug Stanojev
🔁Ángel Nahuel Gillardout: Renato Espinoza
64'
🔁antonio manolacheout: Mohammad Abualnadi
72'
🔁Mario·Bratuout: Hayatu Muhammed Hayatu
78'
81'
⚽Jovo Lukićassist: Jug Stanojev
89'
stefan lefter
90'
⚽Jovo Lukićassist: Jug Stanojev
90+4'
🔁Issouf Macalouout: Lukas Agoston Pall
90+4'
🔁Marius Stefanescuout: Andrei Gheorghiță
90+6'
Lukas Agoston Pall

Match stats — Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj

69%Possession31%
19Shots10
4On target5
10Corners3
1.1xG0.99

Goals against chances

Corvinul Hunedoara0 from 1.10 xGless than the chances were worth
Universitatea Cluj3 from 0.99 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Corvinul Hunedoara 4-2-3-1
  • 21C. SanduG
  • 13F. IacobD
  • 15M. IvančevićD
  • 30A. ManolacheD
  • 10A. NeacșaD
  • 23I. CărărușM
  • 8Constantin Dragoș AlbuM
  • 41M. BratuM
  • 11Roger JunioM
  • 19N. PîrvulescuM
  • 32A. GillardF
Substitutes
  • 70R. DeaconuM
  • 16Gabriel ApurM
  • 5M. AbualnadiD
  • 9R. EspinosaF
  • 12A. FrânculescuG
  • 14M. HayatuF
  • 20Sérgio RibeiroF
  • 29E. OkoroF
  • 47G. Uche GoodladM
Coach: F. Maxim
Universitatea Cluj 4-2-3-1
  • 1Ştefan Daniel LefterG
  • 24D. MikanovićD
  • 22F. PouloloD
  • 6I. CristeaD
  • 27A. ChipciuD
  • 8D. CodreaM
  • 94O. BicM
  • 19I. MacalouM
  • 29O. MendyM
  • 11M. ȘtefănescuM
  • 17J. LukićF
Substitutes
  • 12A. FridayM
  • 77A. GheorghițăF
  • 93N. MichaelG
  • 21D. MoldovanG
  • 96L. PallF
  • 33J. StanojevM
  • 59Ionel Alin TechereșD
  • 2A. ChinteșD
  • 75Eduardo BodnarF
Coach: C. Bergodi

Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj

Corvinul Hunedoara

Liga I

  • L0-2away to Rapid17 October 2026
  • W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026

Universitatea Cluj

Liga I

  • D2-2Arges Pitesti19 October 2026
  • L3-4Rapid12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Corvinul Hunedoara156451716+122
5Universitatea Cluj158252620+626

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Cluj

Corvinul Hunedoara

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Universitatea Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • J. Lukić73
  • A. Aliev62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Universitatea Cluj won 3–0 at Corvinul Hunedoara. The model had leaned towards a win for Corvinul Hunedoara at 38% and given a win for Universitatea Cluj 35%. The goals: Jovo Lukić 4' for Universitatea Cluj, Jovo Lukić 81' for Universitatea Cluj, Jovo Lukić 90' for Universitatea Cluj. On expected goals it finished 1.10–0.99.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Corvinul Hunedoara a 30.4% chance to finish in the top six: 37.8% after a win, 27.5% after a draw, 21.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.9%, 8.5 points lower than before the match.

For Universitatea Cluj the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 68.6% going in: 77.0% after a win, 68.2% after a draw, 62.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.0%, 8.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Corvinul Hunedoara v Universitatea Cluj has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 38% / 27% / 35%: the biggest move is Corvinul Hunedoara's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Corvinul Hunedoara win38%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Universitatea Cluj win35%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.