19 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result

Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca
Referee: George Catalin Roman
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-2 Arges Pitesti.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Universitatea Cluj, 28% draw, 19% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 1.89, 3.57 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Cluj at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Elio Capradossiout: Iulian Cristea
13'
Oucasse Mendy
24'
25'
⚽Ricardo Matos (pen)
⚽Jovo Lukićassist: Issouf Macalou
27'
🔁Mouhamadou Drammehout: Pedro Pinho
33'
Jovo Lukić
34'
38'
Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
⚽Florin Gheorghe·Borta (OG)
44'
45'
🔁Guilherme Garuttiout: Taylor Luvambo
45'
🔁Tiago·Goncalvesout: Patrick dulcea
62'
⚽Yanis Pirvuassist: Patrick dulcea
64'
Dorinel·Oancea
🔁Oucasse Mendyout: Alibek Aliev
71'
🔁Issouf Macalouout: Jug Stanojev
71'
72'
🔁Claudiu Micovschiout: Silviu Balaure
Pedro Pinho
75'
75'
🔁Ionut Laurentiu Radescuout: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe
81'
🔁Ricardo Matosout: Mendy Mamadou
83'
Silviu Balaure
90+1'
Patrick dulcea

Match stats — Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti

52%Possession48%
14Shots19
6On target9
7Corners7
1.65xG1.94

Goals against chances

Universitatea Cluj2 from 1.65 xGabout what the chances were worth
Arges Pitesti2 from 1.94 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj 4-1-4-1
  • 1Ştefan Daniel LefterG
  • 24D. MikanovićD
  • 22F. PouloloD
  • 23E. CapradossiD
  • 27A. ChipciuD
  • 94O. BicM
  • 19I. MacalouM
  • 7M. DrammehM
  • 29O. MendyM
  • 11M. ȘtefănescuM
  • 17J. LukićF
Substitutes
  • 6I. CristeaD
  • 25A. AlievF
  • 18Pedro PinhoM
  • 2A. ChinteșD
  • 12A. FridayM
  • 77A. GheorghițăF
  • 93N. MichaelG
  • 21D. MoldovanG
  • 96L. PallF
Coach: C. Bergodi
Arges Pitesti 3-4-1-2
  • 77I. NikićG
  • 15Guilherme GaruttiD
  • 3L. SadriuD
  • 23F. BorţaD
  • 2A. TofanM
  • 26D. OanceaM
  • 16I. RădescuM
  • 25Tiago GonçalvesM
  • 11Y. PîrvuM
  • 19C. MicovschiF
  • 17Ricardo MatosF
Substitutes
  • 69O. AdefunyibomiD
  • 96S. BalaureD
  • 34C. CăbuzG
  • 20P. DulceaM
  • 80X. EmmersM
  • 92T. LuvamboD
  • 8M. MamadouF
  • 18Daniel SanduF
Coach: Bogdan Andone

Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti

Universitatea Cluj

Liga I

  • L3-4Rapid12 October 2026

Arges Pitesti

Liga I

  • L0-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Universitatea Cluj158252620+626
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti

  • 2 May 2026Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 21 April 2026Arges Pitesti 1–1 Universitatea ClujCupa României
  • 21 March 2026Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 3 February 2026Universitatea Cluj 3–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 20 September 2025Arges Pitesti 1–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 20 March 2023Universitatea Cluj 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Arges Pitesti

Universitatea Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • J. Lukić73
  • A. Aliev62

Arges Pitesti

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Universitatea Cluj and Arges Pitesti drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Cluj at 53% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ricardo Matos (penalty) 25' for Arges Pitesti, Jovo Lukić 27' for Universitatea Cluj, Florin Gheorghe·Borta (own goal) 44' for Universitatea Cluj, Yanis Pirvu 62' for Arges Pitesti. On expected goals it finished 1.65–1.94.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Universitatea Cluj a 79.2% chance to finish in the top six: 83.1% after a win, 75.8% after a draw, 71.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 75.8%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.

For Arges Pitesti the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 36.4% going in: 22.9% after a win, 35.1% after a draw, 40.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 35.1%, 1.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 46% / 31% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 28% / 19%: the biggest move is Universitatea Cluj's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Universitatea Cluj win53%▲ +7
  2. Draw28%▼ −3
  3. Arges Pitesti win19%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.