19 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Voluntari vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu, Voluntari
Referee: Gabriel Mihuleac
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FC Voluntari 1-2 FCSB.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Voluntari, 25% draw, 42% FCSB — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FCSB at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Voluntari0%Draw4%FCSB96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ion Gheorghe
12'
27'
⚽Paul Arnold Garitaassist: Risto Radunović
29'
Karlo Muhar
🔁Marvin Schiebout: Godfried Roemeratoe
45'
45'
🔁Karlo Muharout: Ofri Arad
45'
🔁Meriton Korenicaout: Joao Paulo Fernandes
Florin Cristian Pârvu
55'
⚽Remus Guteaassist: Godfried Roemeratoe
59'
61'
Risto Radunović
🔁Merloi George Cristianout: Mihael Onișa
66'
Mihael Onișa
68'
72'
🔁Juri Cisottiout: Dennis Politic
72'
🔁Risto Radunovićout: Aymen Boutoutaou
78'
🔁Paul Arnold Garitaout: Alexandru Stoian
🔁Remus Guteaout: Nuno Miguel Santos Rodrigues
82'
🔁Matko Babićout: Mihai Roman II
83'
85'
⚽Alexandru Stoianassist: Ricardo padurariu
🔁Denis Haruțout: Adi Marian Chică-Roșă
88'

Match stats — FC Voluntari vs FCSB

38%Possession62%
14Shots18
2On target7
4Corners2
1.21xG2.8

Goals against chances

FC Voluntari1 from 1.21 xGabout what the chances were worth
FCSB2 from 2.80 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Voluntari 4-2-3-1
  • 31M. JurharG
  • 5D. HaruţD
  • 6S. ČestićD
  • 4D. DumbrăvanuD
  • 30A. ȘuteuD
  • 40L. CvekM
  • 8I. GheorgheM
  • 19M. SchiebM
  • 10G. MerloiM
  • 11R. GuțeaM
  • 9M. BabićF
Substitutes
  • 28B. ȘtefanM
  • 12B. ȘtefanG
  • 22Nuno RodriguesM
  • 7M. RomanF
  • 80G. RoemeratoeM
  • 44M. OnișaD
  • 25D. KikiD
  • 14A. ChioveanuG
  • 29A. Chică-RoșăF
Coach: Florin Pîrvu
FCSB 4-2-3-1
  • 32Ș. TârnovanuG
  • 2V. CrețuD
  • 5J. DawaD
  • 3André DuarteD
  • 4Ricardo PadurariuD
  • 73K. MuharM
  • 33R. RadunovićM
  • 11D. MiculescuM
  • 31J. CisottiM
  • 7M. KorenicaM
  • 14A. GaritaF
Substitutes
  • 21D. BatubinsikaD
  • 28A. BoutoutaouF
  • 8E. GnahoréM
  • 97R. LabonneD
  • 18João PauloM
  • 20D. PoliticF
  • 13M. PopaG
  • 17M. PopescuD
  • 77L. StancuM
Coach: L. Reghecampf

Form going into FC Voluntari vs FCSB

FC Voluntari

Liga I

  • L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026

FCSB

Liga I

  • W1-0Oțelul10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15FC Voluntari1522111533-188
8FCSB156362021-121

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs FCSB

  • 7 September 2024FCSB 3–0 FC VoluntariFriendlies Clubs
  • 29 February 2024FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSBLiga I
  • 22 October 2023FCSB 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
  • 12 February 2023FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSBLiga I
  • 12 September 2022FCSB 1–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
  • 14 May 2022FC Voluntari 2–2 FCSBLiga I

Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and FCSB

FC Voluntari

GoalsAssists

  • R. Guțea60

FCSB

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FCSB won 2–1 at FC Voluntari. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FCSB at 42%. The goals: Paul Arnold Garita 27' for FCSB, Remus Gutea 59' for FC Voluntari, Alexandru Stoian 85' for FCSB. On expected goals it finished 1.21–2.80.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Voluntari a 69.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 61.5% after a win, 72.0% after a draw, 75.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 75.3%, 6.1 points higher than before the match.

For FCSB the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 31.7% going in: 38.4% after a win, 29.2% after a draw, 23.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.4%, 6.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Voluntari v FCSB has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 32% / 27% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 25% / 42%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. FC Voluntari win33%▲ +1
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. FCSB win42%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.