23 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka Premier League prediction & result

Valeriy Lobanovsky Dynamo Stadium, Kiev
Referee: Mykhailo Mykhailovych Raida, Ukraine
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Kudrivka.

Before kick-off the model made it 72% Dynamo Kyiv, 16% draw, 12% Kudrivka — fair odds of 1.39, 6.25 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dynamo Kyiv at 72%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dynamo Kyiv99%Draw1%Kudrivka0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Bogdan Veklyak (OG)
28'
45'
🔁Ivan Petryakout: Rodion Plaksa
⚽Mykola Mykhaylenkoassist: Nazar Voloshyn
46'
Taras Mykhavko
59'
60'
Artur Dumanyuk
62'
Oleksandr Beljaev
🔁Nazar Voloshynout: Shola Ogundana
62'
65'
🔁Artur Dumanyukout: Kostyantyn Bychek
67'
⚽Taras Mykhavko (OG)
🔁Mykola Shaparenkoout: Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
73'
🔁Matviy Ponomarenkoout: Eduardo Guerrero
73'
76'
🔁Yevgeniy Smyrnyiout: Oleksandr Yushchenko
⚽Oleksandr Pikhalyonokassist: Andriy Yarmolenko
79'
🔁Andriy Yarmolenkoout: Vladyslav Kabaev
80'
86'
Rodion Plaksa
87'
🔁Raymond Owusuout: Reynaldihno Verley
87'
🔁Faites Prévu Kaya Makossoout: Mykola Vechurko
🔁Oleksiy Sychout: Oleksandr Tymchyk
89'

Match stats — Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka

59%Possession41%
22Shots12
9On target8
12Corners8

Line-ups

Dynamo Kyiv 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. BushchanG
  • 5O. SychD
  • 94T. KędzioraD
  • 32T. MykhavkoD
  • 44V. DubinchakD
  • 91M. MykhaylenkoM
  • 6V. BrazhkoM
  • 7A. YarmolenkoM
  • 10M. ShaparenkoM
  • 9N. VoloshynM
  • 11M. PonomarenkoF
Substitutes
  • 42K. BahF
  • 40K. BilovarD
  • 39E. GuerreroF
  • 22V. KabaevM
  • 21J. LonwijkM
  • 99P. MounguengueF
  • 16S. OgundanaM
  • 43I. OlkhovyiG
  • 8O. PikhalyonokM
Coach: M. Kędziorek
Kudrivka 4-3-3
  • 37A. YashkovG
  • 22B. VeklyakD
  • 17M. SerdyukD
  • 25Mykola OharkovD
  • 91M. MelnychukD
  • 7I. PetryakM
  • 8Y. SmyrnyiM
  • 19A. DumanyukM
  • 14K. MakossoM
  • 21O. BelyaevF
  • 24R. OwusuF
Substitutes
  • 9R. VerleyF
  • 23O. YushchenkoM
  • 6M. VechurkoM
  • 71S. StenM
  • 66K. SigeevM
  • 10R. PlaksaM
  • 1K. LavutaG
  • 73Mykhailo KulykG
  • 97Anton DemchenkoF
Coach: Yevgen Zadorozhniy

Form going into Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka

Dynamo Kyiv

Premier League

  • L1-3away to Polessya18 October 2026
  • W1-0Karpaty11 October 2026

Kudrivka

Premier League

  • W4-1Bukovyna17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Dynamo Kyiv11722169+723
15Kudrivka122281229-178

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka

  • 24 May 2026Dynamo Kyiv 3–2 KudrivkaPremier League
  • 9 February 2026Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 KudrivkaFriendlies Clubs
  • 6 December 2025Kudrivka 1–2 Dynamo KyivPremier League

Leading scorers: Dynamo Kyiv and Kudrivka

Dynamo Kyiv

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ponomarenko60

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dynamo Kyiv beat Kudrivka 3–1. The model had made a win for Dynamo Kyiv its most likely outcome, at 72%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: Bogdan Veklyak (own goal) 28' for Dynamo Kyiv, Mykola Mykhaylenko 46' for Dynamo Kyiv, Taras Mykhavko (own goal) 67' for Kudrivka, Oleksandr Pikhalyonok 79' for Dynamo Kyiv.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dynamo Kyiv a 68.3% chance to finish in the top four: 70.2% after a win, 62.7% after a draw, 57.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.2%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

For Kudrivka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 77.4% going in: 67.6% after a win, 74.3% after a draw, 79.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.2%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dynamo Kyiv v Kudrivka has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 78% / 14% / 8% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 72% / 16% / 12%: the biggest move is Dynamo Kyiv's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. Dynamo Kyiv win72%▼ −6
  2. Draw16%▲ +2
  3. Kudrivka win12%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.