23 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Cashpoint-Arena, Altach
Referee: Arnes Talic
Full time2 – 1

Final score: SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% SCR Altach, 29% draw, 33% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SCR Altach at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SCR Altach96%Draw4%Austria Vienna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Yann massombo
16'
🔁Vesel Demakuout: Yanis Eisschill
21'
40'
⚽Johannes Eggesteinassist: Manfred Fischer
57'
🔁Vasilije Markovicout: Kang-Hee Lee
57'
🔁Julian Hettwerout: Kelvin Owusu Boateng
🔁Rodney Elongo-Yomboout: S. Nakano
62'
🔁Niklas Niehoffout: Johannes Naschberger
62'
69'
Kang-Hee Lee
⚽Patrick Greil
70'
⚽Yann massomboassist: Lukas Jäger
80'
85'
🔁Daniel Nnodimout: Sanel Saljic
87'
ibrahim buhari

Match stats — SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

45%Possession55%
15Shots11
7On target3
4Corners4
0.89xG0.8

Goals against chances

SCR Altach2 from 0.89 xGmore than the chances were worth
Austria Vienna1 from 0.80 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SCR Altach 3-4-1-2
  • 1D. StojanovicG
  • 23B. ZechD
  • 27Filip MilojevicD
  • 17L. JägerD
  • 29N. NiehoffM
  • 28Y. MassomboM
  • 6V. DemakuM
  • 37B. BöckleM
  • 18P. GreilM
  • 39R. Elongo-YomboF
  • 10O. DiawaraF
Substitutes
  • 19S. HrstićF
  • 22Y. EisschillM
  • 7D. CosgunM
  • 21Jakob BrandtnerD
  • 31D. AntoschG
  • 16R. RahmaniD
  • 14J. NaschbergerM
  • 34A. VonbrulM
  • 11S. NakanoF
Coach: O. Zaric
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
  • 26R. RanftlD
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 3I. BuhariD
  • 40Daniel NnodimM
  • 5V. MüllerM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokM
  • 30M. FischerM
  • 20J. HettwerM
  • 19J. EggesteinF
Substitutes
  • 99M. KosG
  • 22F. WustingerM
  • 44V. ToiflD
  • 21Matteo SchablasM
  • 10S. SaljicM
  • 6Philipp MaybachM
  • 16Lee Kang-HeeM
  • 42D. EwemadeF
  • 14K. BoatengF
Coach: S. Helm

Form going into SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

SCR Altach

Bundesliga

  • L0-3away to Red Bull Salzburg18 October 2026
  • W3-0Wolfsberger AC11 October 2026

Austria Vienna

Bundesliga

  • L2-3away to Ried17 October 2026
  • L0-2Sturm Graz10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9SCR Altach123181120-910
11Austria Vienna122281123-128

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

  • 21 February 2026SCR Altach 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 31 August 2025Austria Vienna 1–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 8 December 2024Austria Vienna 3–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 1 September 2024SCR Altach 1–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 26 April 2024Austria Vienna 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 16 March 2024SCR Altach 1–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga

The result against the call

SCR Altach beat Austria Vienna 2–1. The model had made a win for SCR Altach its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Johannes Eggestein 40' for Austria Vienna, Patrick Greil 70' for SCR Altach, Yann massombo 80' for SCR Altach. On expected goals it finished 0.89–0.80.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SCR Altach a 50.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 39.6% after a win, 52.6% after a draw, 61.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.6%, 10.5 points lower than before the match.

For Austria Vienna the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 34.3% going in: 22.1% after a win, 34.2% after a draw, 43.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.9%, 9.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SCR Altach v Austria Vienna has moved

First published on 9 Oct at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is SCR Altach's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. SCR Altach win38%▲ +4
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Austria Vienna win33%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.