Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Cruzeiro, 24% draw, 25% Flamengo — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cruzeiro at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
Cruzeiro
- W2-1away to Corinthians16 August 2026
Flamengo
- W5-1away to Mirassol16 August 2026
- W2-0Vitoria9 August 2026
- D1-1away to Internacional29 July 2026
- D1-1Sao Paulo26 July 2026
- W4-0away to Chapecoense23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
- 20 August 2026Flamengo 2–1 CruzeiroCONMEBOL Libertadores
- 13 August 2026Cruzeiro 1–1 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
- 12 March 2026Flamengo 2–0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 2 October 2025Flamengo 0–0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 4 May 2025Cruzeiro 2–1 FlamengoSerie A
- 7 November 2024Cruzeiro 0–1 FlamengoSerie A
Leading scorers: Cruzeiro and Flamengo
Cruzeiro
- Matheus Pereira8 goals4 assists
- Kaio Jorge7 goals
Flamengo
- Pedro15 goals5 assists
- Samuel Lino9 goals7 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.