Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Orlando City SC, 20% draw, 24% Real Salt Lake — fair odds of 1.79, 5.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Orlando City SC at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
- W1-0Nashville SC25 July 2026
- W4-0away to San Jose Earthquakes23 July 2026
Real Salt Lake
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Los Angeles FC23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- 9 July 2023Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 1 March 2020Orlando City SC 0–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 14 April 2019Real Salt Lake 2–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 6 May 2018Orlando City SC 3–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 1 July 2017Real Salt Lake 0–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 6 March 2016Orlando City SC 2–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
- M. Ojeda11 goals1 assists
Real Salt Lake
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 37 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.